5. Nicholas Hoult in True History of the Kelly Gang - Hoult gives a terrific villainous turn, finding the right kind of derangement of a man who is quite assured in his abuse of power.
Best Scene: Threatening a baby.
4. Hugh Laurie in The Personal History of David Copperfield - Laurie gives the year's funniest performance. This in bringing impeccable comic timing that steals every single moment he has on screen.
Best Scene: Lets go fly a kite.
3. Brian Dennehy in Driveways - Dennehy delivers a worthy sendoff to his career, giving a natural depiction of a warm relationship and delivering a knock out final monologue.
Best Scene: Final Speech.
2. Mark Rylance in The Trial of the Chicago Seven - Rylance delivers a great performance that rises above the rest of the cast, making the least of Sorkin digestible, and making the best of it sing.
Best Scene: The Tape.
1. Ben Mendelsohn in Babyteeth - I have to admit while lead actor was sewn up relatively quickly this year, I had absolutely no idea who my supporting winner would be going into the Oscar nominations or even going into this alternate lineup. I knew my favorites, my current top five, but there wasn't the one that made me say "that's it", until re-watching Babyteeth. Mendelsohn's work simply devastated me all the more the second time. I saw all the more nuance and a true poignancy in his heartbreaking portrayal of a father doing his best to contain his pain, to try to alleviate his daughter's own.
Best Scene: The beach.
Overall Ranking:
- Ben Mendelsohn in Babyteeth
- Paul Raci in Sound of Metal
- Mark Rylance in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Brian Dennehy in Driveways
- Hugh Laurie in The Personal History of David Copperfield - 5
- Nicholas Hoult in True History of the Kelly Gang
- Bo Burnham in Promising Young Woman
- Russell Crowe in True History of the Kelly Gang
- Mick Jagger in The Burnt Orange Heresy
- Aldis Hodge in One Night in Miami
- Alebrecht Schuch in Berlin Alexanderplatz- 4.5
- Thomas Bo Larsen in Another Round
- Lars Ranthe in Another Round
- Magnus Millang in Another Round
- Barry Keoghan in Calm With Horses
- Malachi Kirby in Mangrove
- Ben Whishaw in The Personal History of David Copperfield
- Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Frank Langella in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Will Patton in Minari
- Sergei Erlish in Dear Comrades!
- Glynn Turman in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Mark Gatiss in The Father
- Alfred Molina in Promising Young Woman
- John Carroll Lynch in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Eddie Redmayne in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Robin de Jesus in Boys in the Band
- Colman Domingo in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Chadwick Boseman in Da 5 Bloods
- Sacha Baron Cohen in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Peter Capaldi in The Personal History of David Copperfield
- David Strathairn in Nomadland
- Guy Boyd in I'm Thinking of Ending Things
- Kwak Do-won in The Man Standing Next
- Jack Lowden in Mangrove
- Bill Burr in The King of Staten Island - 4
- Ned Dennehy in Calm With Horses
- Rufus Sewell in The Father
- Michael Keaton in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Colin Farrell in The Gentlemen
- Johnny Flynn in Emma
- Michael Rooker in Love and Monsters
- David Wilmot in Calm With Horses
- Matthew Macfadyen in The Assistant
- Donald Sutherland in The Burnt Orange Heresy
- Sean Bean in Wolfwalkers
- Max Greenfield in Promising Young Woman
- Hugh Grant in The Gentlemen
- Jeremy Strong in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Albert Rudbeck Lindhardt in Another Round
- Bill Nighy in Emma
- J.K. Simmons in Palm Springs
- Christopher Mintz-Plasse in Promising Young Woman
- Aneurin Barnard in The Personal History of David Copperfield
- Steve Toussaint in Red, White and Blue
- Denis Lavant in Night of the Kings
- Clancy Brown in Promising Young Woman
- Chris Lowell in Promising Young Woman
- Eli Goree in One Night in Miami
- Charles Dance in Mank
- Jonathan Majors in Da 5 Bloods
- Vladislav Komarov in Dear Comrades!
- Ray Romano in Bad Education
- Simon McBurney in Wolfwalkers
- David Thewlis in I'm Thinking of Ending Things
- Robert Pattinson in Tenet
- Johnny Depp in Waiting for the Barbarians
- Alex Jennings in Mangrove
- Kevin Pugh in Wendy
- Henry Cavill in Enola Holmes
- Jason Clarke in The Devil All The Time
- Arliss Howard in Mank
- Lee Sung-min in The Man Standing Next
- Tommy Chong in Color Out of Space'
- Zachary Quinto in The Boys in the Band
- Tom Burke in Mank
- Robbie Gee in Alex Wheatle
- Kyle MacLachlan in Tesla
- Robert Pattinson in Waiting for the Barbarians
- D’angelou Osei Kissiedu in Rocks
- Charlie Hunnam in True History of the Kelly Gang
- Tuc Watkins in The Boys in the Band
- Tom Pelphrey in Mank
- Brendan Meyer in Color out of Space
- Pedro Pascal in Wonder Woman 1984
- Robert Pattinson in Then Devil All the Time
- David Thewlis in Eternal Beauty
- Peter MacNeill in The Kid Detective
- Graham Norton in Soul
- Chris Pine in Wonder Woman 1984
- Peter Kim in The 40-Year Old Version - 3.5
- Karl Markovics in Resistance
- William Sadler in Bill and Ted Face the Music
- Tzi Ma in Mulan
- Ian Hart in Escape From Pretoria
- Michael Stuhlbarg in Shirley
- Benedict Wong in The Personal History of David Copperfield
- Charlie Hunnam in The Gentlemen
- Matt Dillon in Capone
- Richard Ayoade in Soul
- Anthony Carrigan in Bill and Ted Face the Music
- Harry Melling in The Devil All the Time
- Jerry Adler in Driveways
- Kelvin Harrison Jr. in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Mathieu Amalric in Sound of Metal
- Adam Brody in Promising Young Woman
- Rafael Casal in Bad Education
- Forest Whitaker in Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
- Andrew Rannells in The Boys in the Band
- Kyle MacLachlan in Capone
- Ben Shenkman in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Isiah Whitlock Jr. in Da 5 Bloods
- Darren Boyd in The Personal History of David Copperfield
- Michael Potts in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Jack Lowden in Capone
- Chris Cooper in Irresistible
- Norm Lewis in Da 5 Bloods
- Bill Skarsgard in The Devil All the Time
- Joe Pantoliano in Bad Boys For Life
- Charlie Shotwell in The Nest
- Marlon Wayans in On the Rocks
- Rupert Graves in Emma
- Sam Riley in Rebecca
- Steve Buscemi in The King of Staten Island
- Christopher Plummer in The Last Full Measure
- Alex Wolff in Bad Education
- Toby Jones in First Cow
- Paul Walter Hauser in Da 5 Bloods
- Harry Melling in Waiting for the Barbarians
- Michael Benjamin Washington in The Boys in the Band
- Josh O'Connor in Emma
- Conleth Hill in Herself
- William Hurt in The Last Full Measure
- Jim Carrey in Sonic The Hedgehog
- Kyle Chandler in The Midnight Sky
- George Wendt in The Climb
- Samuel L. Jackson in The Last Full Measure
- Glenn Howerton in The Hunt
- Lance Reddick in Sylvie's Love
- Ed Harris in The Last Full Measure
- Rati Oneli in Beginning
- Matthias Schweighöfer in Resistance - 3
- Bradley Whitford in The Last Full Measure
- Keegan-Michael Key in Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
- Donnie Yen in Mulan
- Aldis Hodge in The Invisible Man
- Macon Blair in The Hunt
- Elliott Knight in Color Out of Space
- Jonny Coyne in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Yashua Mack in Wendy
- Peter Macdissi in Uncle Frank
- Demian Bichir in The Midnight Sky
- Al Madrigal in The Way Back
- Johnny Tri Nguyen in Da 5 Bloods
- Will Sasso in Irresistible
- Alex Sharp in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Rudhraksh Jaiswal in Extraction
- David Oyelowo in The Midnight Sky
- Eddie Marsan in The Gentlemen
- Sebastian Stan in The Devil All the Time
- Michael Dorman in The Invisible Man
- Théodore Pellerin in Never Rarely Sometimes Always
- Ewan McGregor in Birds of Prey
- Bo Hopkins in Hillbilly Elegy
- Andrew Rannells in The Prom
- Ed Harris in Resistance
- Callum Turner in Emma
- Jeremy Shamos in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - 2.5
- Steve Zahn in Uncle Frank
- Keegan-Michael Key in The Prom
- Jeffrey Donovan in Let Him Go
- Logan Lerman in Shirley
- Joseph Gordon-Levitt in The Trial of the Chicago Seven
- Kenneth Branagh in Tenet
- Stephen Root in Uncle Frank
- Jasper Pääkkönen in Da 5 Bloods
- Topher Grace in Irresistible
- Dan Ewing in Love and Monsters
- Fred Hechinger in News of the World
- Ian Lloyd Anderson in Herself
- Sam Claflin in Enola Holmes - 2
- Oliver Jackson-Cohen in The Invisible Man
- Terry Chen in Falling
- Henry Golding in The Gentlemen - 1.5
- Nguyễn Ngọc Lâm in Da 5 Bloods
- Will Brittain in Let Him Go
- Jean Reno in Da 5 Bloods
- Michael Covino in News of the World
- Jeremy Strong in The Gentlemen - 1
Next: 1980 Lead, though I will not be starting this until after the Oscars.
398 comments:
«Oldest ‹Older 201 – 398 of 398Louis: Could I have your explanation of the scene from The Father when Colman seemingly tries to suffocate Anthony with a pillow? As in, do you think it was meant to be literal.
Anonymous: that, and the scene where Anthony walks into hospital corridor, were the two scenes I had reservations with on my initial viewing, but I've since come around to them both being reflections of one another. Clearly dream sequences (as opposed to many of the ambiguous 'reality' sequences) that reflect the inner vulnerabilities of both Anne and Anthony that they try to hide.
Yeah, that scene gave me a bit of pause too, as it seemed out of character for Anne on first watch. Rewatching the film, while I think it's something that *could* have happened, it's more likely an expression of Anthony's fear.
Louis: could Hopkins go up for Amistad? It seems even based on your brief thoughts there that he's more than a 3.
8000S:
As per typical to Cronenberg, grungy and sparse work. Effective in creating kind of a backroom sci-fi that seems more than grounded, rather actually seedy. No cool labs or art deco rooms, just basic office space and just kind of torture rooms, which feel ideal to the film's style. I would say design wise he went further with these ideas in Videodrome but this was notable start for them.
Mark Irwin's cinematography is also typical early Cronenberg in again not going for the fancy, in fact seeming to skewer the concept. Although again doing this in an effective way. Careful lighting that doesn't give itself away but does grant a style, if understated, tot he film. The composition of shots really is key though in creating the harsh dynamic, for example part of the impact of the infamous head explosion is exactly how it is shot.
Anonymous:
It definitely not meant to be literal as shot, we see it as a passing memory in Colman's Anne's mind, and I think we see at as reflection of all her frustrations in dealing with him. It is in fact purposefully used I feel to show though that false anxiety ridden "fantasy" built on frustration against the reality of the rhyming scene where we see Anne actually (well as close to "actually" as we can get within the nature of the film), treat Anthony in bed, which is with care and tenderness.
Calvin:
It's possible.
Louis: Could I have your thoughts on the Detective Interrogation scene from Promising Young Woman.
Aidan:
Williams:
1. Jaws
2. Schindler's List
3. The Empire Strikes Back
4. Star Wars
5. Superman
6. Raiders of the Lost Ark
7. Catch Me If You Can
8. JFK
9. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
10. Return of the Jedi
11. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade
12. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
13. The Patriot
14. Home Alone
15. Amistad
16. The Witches of Eastwick
17. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial
18. Close Encounters of The Third Kind
19. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
20. The Adventures of Tin Tin
21. Munich
22. Born on the Fourth of July
23. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom
24. A.I. Artificial Intelligence
25. Nixon
26. The Poseidon Adventure
27. Lincoln
28. The Accidental Tourist
29. The Reivers
30. Empire of the Sun
31. Saving Private Ryan
32. Angela's Ashes
33. The Last Jedi
34. The Rise of Skywalker
35. Sleepers
36. Cinderella Liberty
37. Goodbye, Mr. Chips
38. The Towering Inferno
39. The River
40. The Book Thief
41. War Horse
Some of the top portion is a "any other day" kind of situation, I'd say the mid to lower portion of the list is more defined.
Tim:
Deakins:
1. Blade Runner 2049
2. The Assassination of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
3. The Man Who Wasn't There
4. Fargo
5. 1917
6. Skyfall
7. Sicario
8. True Grit
9. The Shawshawnk Redemption
10. No Country For Old Men
11. Kundun
12. Prisoners
13. O Brother Where Art Thou
14. Unbroken
15. The Reader
Worth noting even the Reader is beautifully shot.
how about Robert Richardson's nominations?
Louis, Calvin, Tahmeed, Bryan and everyone else: Any predictions for the remainder of 2021.
Luke: What do you mean exactly?
Bryan: Any films that could either surprise/disappoint, the most successful blockbuster, early predictions for acting MVPs in our most anticipated films as examples.
Will Cinemas re-open by the end of the year. Anything at all.
Bryan: It's a struggle for me personally to talk about anything film-related at the moment with Louis on break. There is Awards season (BAFTAS tomorrow) but I'm not as enthused on it as I used to be.
The only thing I really really care about is Mulligan winning because I've loved her for many years since Doctor Who.
And with the BAFTAS, I'm watching it mainly for the In Memoriam segment which frankly they've done a better job of it than the Oscars have.
Go figure, this is the awards season I’ve been most invested in for ages, although I very much get the fatigue that goes along with it. All I’m hoping for is people aren’t going to just dismiss 2020 as a write off year for films just cause of the situation, there were plenty of great releases.
Anyway my prediction is that Kirsten Dunst is going to finally get her first Oscar nomination for Power of the Dog.
All my prayers are with Youn Yuh-jung, I don’t think I’ve ever cared more about an Oscar-nominated performance. She’s officially in my top 10 of all-time in Supporting Actress.
Luke: Alright.
-Dune blows our minds away.
-Fassbender will rebound with Waititi.
-Ridley Scott returns to form with The Last Duel. Adam Driver MVP.
-Anya Taylor-Joy will have a banner year with Last Night in SoHo/The Northman.
-Same with Bradley Cooper (PTA/Nightmare Alley.)
-Spielberg’s West Side Story won’t......work (and not just because of its lead.)
Calvin: I'm not as enthused on it in general. I don't judge anyone who does. These days, I care more for the enjoyment of the films and the reviews from this blog. And I'm not dismissing 2020 as a year at all. The amount of great performances we got under these horrendous circumstances proved otherwise.
Though we'll see how much greater it could've been with these delayed releases.
I believe if everything had been released as it is that Louis’ winners would be exactly the same as they are now. But yeah overall it would probably have even more 5’s.
I’ve gotta admit I’m not nearly as hyped for Dune as I was before. On the other hand I am absolutely dying to check out The Green Knight.
Luke: All I can say is I'm eagerly anticipating the third consecutive performance as an Asian grandma to top most of our Supporting Actress overalls.
As for the rest-
- Dune will be great, and Chalamet will at least get a 4.5.
- No Time to Die will do well at the box office, and will be an improvement over Spectre.
- Anya Taylor-Joy gets 2 more 5's.
- Next Goal Wins will be great, and Fassbender will at least be a strong 4.5. However, it will probably undeperform at the Oscars.
I'm going to make a bold prediction and say that The Northman will top both Supporting overalls. (Bjork and Dafoe/Bang) Have no idea where Taylor-Joy will be placed.
Calvin: That anticipated performances list you've posted before. Was Ana De Armas in Blonde an oversight.
I was looking over a similar thread from 2017 and some of the things there did not age well:
"Fassbender will win the lead actor overall"
"Spacey will be mvp of baby driver"
"Cillian murphy will get his first five"
Anonymous: Because it's impossible to predict stuff like this.
Anonymous: Those predictions were based on wishful thinking. Did anyone at the time really believe that Fassbender/Alfredson would flop.
Matt and Luke: I do agree but I just found it hilarious how wrong they were.
Tim:
1. JFK
2. Inglourious Basterds
3. Platoon
4. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
5. Hugo
6. The Hateful Eight
7. The Aviator
8. Born on the Fourth Of July
9. Django Unchained
10. Snow Falling on Cedars
Luke:
Uhh, that hopefully the multi-plex, that is open near me, is able to stay open. Speaking of actually watched Nobody a few days ago, but made no mention of it as the whole film is kind of a spoiler. I will say while it has some good action and is generally okay, I wish the whole thing was a little more fun, though some fun is to be had.
Louis: Ratings on the cast.
Bit late here, but where A Most Wanted Man is concerned, I have to say it was the first time where I didn't feel like McAdams's performance was completely empty. She still lacked much depth, but there was at least something there where previously she had never had anything.
Some things that I noticed is that it's not really wise to bet on actors who are in Wes Anderson and Nolan movies. The only one from the latter that ever got a nom (and win) was Ledger, for what was arguably a pop culture changing role, while the former couldn’t even get GG winner and previous 2-time Oscar winner Gene Hackman in or Fiennes for a movie that got a ton of other nods, including BP. It’s why I am skeptical of anyone from The French Dispatch getting in.
Luke:
Odenkirk - 3.5
Lloyd - 3(Always good to see him)
Nielsen - 2.5
RZA - 2
Serebryakov - 2.5
Michael: I see where your coming from with that. I'll admit, despite liking McAdams, a lot of her performances only seem to go to a certain point. This can still work for both comedy and drama (Ex. Game Night or Spotlight), but it does become more obvious when she's in an especially challenging or complex role.
Not sure if it was pointed out on here already or not, but the BAFTAs are shacking it up this year and presenting 8 awards today and the rest tomorrow. Here's the winners so far:
Casting: Rocks
Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Production Design: Mank
Makeup & Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
British Short Film: The Present
British Animated Short: The Owl and the Pussycat
Update on BAFTA winners:
Visual Effects: Tenet
Sound: Sound of Metal
That Makeup win stings.
Well what do you know, my predictions on all those fronts were perfect, and also indicate a possible trend towards a lot of Rocks love tomorrow (keep your eyes on Bakray and Ali).
If bakray wins that will only strengthen mulligan’s chances to win the oscar.
Louis: Thoughts on Berlin Alexanderplatz and the cast.
Glad to see you liked Schuch, Louis.
I am conflicted over the best actor at the baftas. All sings point to Chadwick Boseman winning like he did with globes, critics choice and sag but i have a feeling they will give it to Anthony Hopkins.
How would you rate Rita Moreno in West Side Story and Anne Hathaway in Les Miserables?
Moreno is a 4 and I think Hathaway is a 3.5.
All Bafta choices so far are good to great, except Ma Rainey's makeup, I mean have the voters seen a picture of the real Ma Rainey? A baffling choice, especially over Pinocchio, and likely will be the worst Oscar win come Oscar night.
Post-DGA: Documentary still up in the air, and glad to see another solidifying lock on Zhao’s deserving sweep.
Calvin:
Feature: Excellent choice, to the point I'd say Zhao is more locked than Nomadland in picture.
Doc: Truffle Hunters is a cool off-beat choice.
First-Time: Great get for Marder, and extremely deserving...even if I'm still confused how Fennell wasn't nominated.
Luke:
The film itself is way too long, and obviously I'm someone who doesn't care about length if it has purpose. I'd say here, it gets little repetitive even though it is never bad, or less than decent. It is overall effective in creating this particular study of both place and character. Still I think it could've told the same story in half the time, which is a flaw.
Bungue - 3.5(Solid leading turn even if consistently overshadowed to an extent. This is with purpose sure, but there are plenty of performances that show that doesn't have to be the case. He is good though in playing the moments of reaction and kind of showing the reactions that eventually become a kind of action. He has the right sort sense of mystery in his work while also conducting enough empathy for his work.)
Haase - 3.5(Thought she was effective in crafting a kind of very unique kind of chemistry with both Schuch and Bungue. This as she never plays it as a simple kind of interaction with either man. She creates the right kind of emphasis in this interactions to create the complexity of their relationship.)
Schuch - 4.5(He steals the film rather wholesale though in being the entire proper kind of wild care throughout the film. This in creating the sort of showman in his early scenes as he entreats the man towards more. Creating the right persuasive quality in his work even as he doesn't really hide the nature of the man. He then wields the sort of chaotic energy of the man quite effectively. This in creating the right sort of unpredictable nature of his character in a given scene. You never know exactly what to expect from him other than he will be magnetic and compelling in a given scene. This creating the right sort of shifts between a seeming friendship, or is manipulation or is it hostility. Terrific work to be sure.)
Calvin: Your ratings for Deneuve and Depardieu in The Last Metro.
Deneuve: 4.5
Depardieu: 3.5
Having said that I can see how someone who dug the film a bit more could go a bit higher.
Louis: My guess is because the DGA has a weird anti-foreign (aside from Mexicans for some reason) bias. It's less apparent on the film categories, but you can definitely see it on the TV ones: they NEVER nominated The Crown, didn't nominate Schitt's Creek, Fleabag or Unorthodox (who went on to win the directing Emmys) and only nominated Downtown Abbey once for an episode directed by an American.
*Watches Inside Moves*
I know John Savage was the requested performance from the film, but I’d also like to advocate for David Morse (yes, THE David Morse) for a co-review as well. I thought he was just as good honestly, and he hasn’t made his debut on the blog yet.
*Waits for Lukes’ response*
Bryan: I like David Morse in general so it would be nice to see.
Keach/Wilson
Anthony Quinn
Savage/Morse
Kris Kristofferson
Naseeruddin Shah
Al Pacino
Richard Dreyfuss
If it's a 10 then Brinsley Forde for that last spot.
Since we're talking about Inside Moves, what do you think of Diana Scarwid in it? Her nomination is one of the most forgotten ones and her role here would be totally eclipsed by her being in Mommie Dearest, which wound up winning her a Razzie and ruining her career (she hasn’t done anything since 2011).
Anonymous: I thought she was quite good in her somewhat brief screentime. I actually didn’t know she was Oscar-nominated before I saw it, so finding out she received a nom was a nice surprise.
I look forward to seeing what Louis thinks of Dunaway in Mommie Dearest.
The Father wins Adapted Screenplay at BAFTAs (yessss) and Sound of Metal takes Editing.
wait what
Anonymous: BAFTA is pre-recorded by an hour.
Bryan: Morse is someone who's never really given a bad performance (as far as I know), so it would be nice to see him reviewed, even though I'm not sure which role of his would be most appropriate.
Also, random question for everyone: In reference to Louis' comment when he reviewed Rylance for TTOTC7 ("...taking up the least amount of space this side of Ian Holm."), who would be your top actors that have such potent screen presences, despite not being that imposing physically?
Ignore my previous statement, they've gone live for the first time.
Mitchell: In recent memory, Stephen Graham comes to mind. (He's brilliant in This is England, great in Line Of Duty, Little Boy Blue and The Irishman)
Youn Yuh-jung wins Supporting Actress BAFTA, most likely the Oscar winner now and I couldn't be happier.
Calvin: You can open the champagne now. :)
Worth noting that earlier Another Round won non-English film (notably over Minari) and Nomadland won Cinematography.
In the precursors the awards for supporting actress have gone to:
Globes: Foster.
Critic's choice: Bakalova.
Sag: Youn.
Bafta: Youn.
Keep in mind foster did not get nominated at the oscars.
Now Promising Young Woman wins Original Screenplay, and now I'm fairly certain The Trial of the Chicago 7 is winning nothing come Oscar night.
Loving these BAFTA wins so far.
Luke: I think the first time I became aware of Graham was his role as Al Capone on "Boardwalk Empire". Capone was in the 5'10" to 5'11" range, while Graham is billed at 5'5" - but that is about the only quibble I could make at the casting/performance from what I've seen.
Aidan: You're probably right but I will point out that Aaron Sorkin is a hell of a lot more popular in America than in Britain.
Close is not gonna win. :)
Kaluuya wins Supporting Actor, of course.
Mitchell: Graham is also way too old for the part, technically, but it actually doesn't really matter.
His house wins debut.
New drinking game: Take a shot every time a movie featured in the upcoming movies feature was supposed to come out in 2020.
My octopus teachers wins documentary.
Anonymous: Probably our Oscar winner given its PGA win also.
Lol they are allowing andra day to present after snubbing her from the shortlist.
Soul wins score. Of course.
Promising young woman wins best british film.
Same energy as when Amy presented after getting snubbed for Meryl's 3435 nomination
Here comes the in memmorial segment. :(
Well that was sad. :(
Bukky Bakray wins rising star award.
That left me broken, so many legends gone.
Zhao wins. Expected.
Also is it just me or did they struggle to find a clip of babyteeth that showcases the directing?
Hopkins wins.
Kinda expected that.
But still surpised.
Hopkins winning Lead Actor for BAFTA has me in high spirits. Not sure how this will translate to the Oscars, but I guess we'll just have to see.
Frances wins.
So it's a three horse race for Lead Actress. Come on Carey.
Ok, the Best Actress race has gotten even MORE interesting now.
Nomadland wins best film.
*pretends to be shocked*
LOVE that Hopkins won, won't translate to Oscar, but he deserved to win something that for that performance. McDormand is extremely deserving as well, and that certainly leaves a big ? come Oscar night for Actress. It could go any way, well except Kirby I think. My money and heart is still on Mulligan though.
I think mulligan will win because the fact that promising young woman won best British movie shows that if it was not for the jury she would have won bafta.
My final predictions for the oscars:
Best Picture: Nomadland.
Best Director: Chloe Zhao.
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman.
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan.
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya.
Best Supporting Actress: Yuh-Jung Youn.
Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Nomadland.
Hypothetically, if Kaluuya and Stanfield somehow split the vote or cancel each other out, who's getting instead? I'd say Raci.
in recent years, the Globes have really not been the best place to look for predictions for the Screenplay Oscars, have they?
Matt:
I mean vote splitting doesn't exactly happen, plenty have won when nominated with their co-stars. It would be Raci if an upset were to happen.
Matt: Probably raci but it could also be cohen or odom junior.
I’m so happy for pretty much all of these wins. Can’t lie I was looking forward to a potential Bakray upset but she did get Rising Star, and Hopkins and McDormand winning awards is really great (as Louis said, won’t translate but I’m glad). Love to see some of the other wins there, Sound of Metal did so well! But of course my happiest moment is Youn Yuh-jung. I lost track of timing so I had no idea results would come out as soon as I woke up and I’m so, so, so, so, so happy for her after everyone was doubting her chances.
Also Hopkins deserves an award, it won’t translate to the Oscars I think but I’m delighted to see it recognised.
Louis: given her awards success otherwise, would you say Youn being snubbed by the Globes is a notable hit against their value as an awards organisation.
Calvin: What value?
The Globes are a pile of piss. No value whatsoever.
Matt and Luke: preach!
Calvin:
I mean the globes "legitimacy" has only existed due to two things, free booze bribes people to coming to the show, and they happen to be the second oldest award organization. They've always been looked at with more than a side eye, but they were in the right place at the right time, that they'll stay put. Only a consistent boycott, not just one year that's happened before it would have to be permanent, could ever put a stop to them, which I don't think will happen.
They're a bit like Homer Simpson at the Nuclear power plant, he just happened to be there when the plant opened, so we're stuck with them, because they've always been there...at this point.
Louis: Ouch, that's a bit of an insult...to Homer Simpson.
Calvin:
Seriously though if you look at the Oscars this year, which it seems like we're both going to be pretty happy about. What was lacking this year really? The bribe parties/screenings/etc was the major factor absent, and I think we got better choices for it.
Louis: Your five biggest disappointments and surprises film-wise for 2020.
Louis: I think you honestly might be right about the bribe parties part, that plays an overly big role every year. Going forward I hope it continues to be reduced as a factor.
Bryan:
Disappointments:
1. Tenet
2. Falling
3. Mulan
4. News of the World
5. The Devil All the Time
Surprises:
1. Dear Comrades!
2. Boys State
3. The Painter and the Thief
4. The Mole Agent
5. The Kid Detective
Louis if they had cast younger actors and aged them up, who would you have cast in the roles of Hoffa, Sheeran and Bufalino in the Irishman?
Anonymous:
Hoffa: Stephen Graham (Rory Cochrane as Tony Pro)
Sheeran: Michael Shannon
I think you could keep Pesci as Bufalino, and frankly they probably could've potentially done more basic non computer makeup de-aging with him, since Bufalino was always portrayed as the "older guy" to begin with.
Guys, don't know why, but I have a bad feeling that Close might pull a huge upset and win. The other awards show all gave a win it to her already, so there was no real Overdue narative for her there. BAFTA hasn't given her a win yet, but the brits don't really seem to care too much for her, seeing as she wasn't even nominated for Fatal Attraction (even though they nominated Michael Douglas and Anne Archer for it). Her overdue narrative is for the Oscars only now.
It's also because her competition would make some abnormal winners:
Youn - no Asian actress has won here since 1957, and we all know how AMPAS has a bias against Asian performers (Awkwafina, Zhao, Parasite cast)
Bakalova - no Eastern European actress has won since 1963 (and both the ones who won were stage veterans), and especially, no actor has ever won for comedic improvisation role (her nomination really was a miracle)
Colman - the only time an actress won for supporting after winning Lead was Helen Hayes in 1970, and that was in an extremely weak category with no frontrunners. Her 2nd win also came WAY after her 1st one.
Seyfried - "Ingenues" rarely win Supporting, the last time one won was Zellweger in 2003 and she swept the season before.
Close, on the other hand, represents a trend this category has had, to reward Oscarless well-respected thespians, think about it; Laura Dern, Regina King, Allison Janney, Viola Davis, Patricia Arquette, Anne Hathaway, Octavia Spencer, Melissa Leo. And none of them, aside from Davis, had that many people wanting them to win it, nor any of them had 7 previous nominations.
I know I'm probably overthinking it, but if Close's name is read out instead of Youn, I will be disappointed, but not surprised.
I don’t blame you for being cautious and overthinking things, and I’ll believe Youn wins only when I see it, but I do feel like her winning over the actors’ branch with SAG and winning BAFTA (who weren’t crazy about Minari outside of the jury categories) are good signs. She’s not a lock but she’s in a good place to win.
Anonymous:
Lupita Nyong'o and Alicia Vikander were both ingenues by the way.
I don't think it is entirely wrapped up, but at this point Close has no legitimate precursor wins and a Razzie nomination, which would also make her a trend-breaker if she won.
They also passed on Amy Adams for Vice, Close for the Wife, O'Toole for Venus, having the most nominations is no guarantee for a win.
If Close wins, it would be a truly sad day for the academy. I would compare her nomination to that of Eric Roberts, except even Roberts' nod could be explained as the oscar's throwing a bone to a young performer. Close's nomination, meanwhile, has only succeeded in validating a 13 year old comedy about the ridiculousness of certain Hollywood trends.
Louis: I think they are more of a rising star/newcomer (since they won for their first year in Hollwood) than ingenues (which like Seyfried and Zellweger in 2003, are more of a young woman who has been working in LA for quite a while and is reaching star status). At least that's how I see it.
Anonymous:
The short hand that ingenue stands for is typically young actress on the rise (doesn't need to be more specific than that), which Vikander definitely counts for at that time, banner year and not her first year in Hollywood (she'd been in the Fifth Estate, and Anna Karenina).
Doesn’t Anne Hathaway also count as an “ingenue” when she won? She had recently turned 30 around the time of Les Miserables’ release, though she already had a nom to her name for Rachel Getting Married.
What ingenue actually means is "an innocent or unsophisticated young woman", so it's a little bit weird to be using that term in this context at all, I think.
Louis: Oh, had completely forgotten about The Fifth Estate lol. What a poor excuse of Oscar bait.
And Amanda Seyfried is 35 and has been doing this for many years now.
Bryan:
Yes.
Matt:
Not sure of the exact etymology of the slang, but it's been around for awhile at this point. I think it stems from the type of actress that would likely play the ingenue style role back in the day.
Well, my use of ingenue would be a young (20-30s) actress who is popular, but not a star yet, and has been for a time working in Hollywood. So in that way, Hathaway would be one in her first nom, but by 2012/2013 she was already a huge star, so it'd fall into that category. But that's only my definition.
Matt: I suppose by that definition, "ingenue" could be used to describe a number of characters Seyfried's played (particularly when she was younger), but not so much Marion Davies.
Regardless, that was a word I never really knew the full meaning of, and therefor never felt comfortable in using it. To be blunt, I'll probably continue to avoid it now that I know what it technically refers to.
Mitchell:
I wouldn't worry about it too much, words change definition or get additional definitions all the time. Like Diva, used often for a term for egotistical actress, but originally just meant popular female opera singer.
Louis: Fair enough.
Also, just a random piece of advice for everyone here; If you come across any videos, threads, articles, posts or comments relating to "Ben 10 Vs Green Lantern"...do yourselves a favour and just ignore them. The rabbit hole is not worth it.
How bad is Close in that movie? Like is she worse than Rene in Cold Mountain?
"Colman - the only time an actress won for supporting after winning Lead was Helen Hayes in 1970"
Maggie Smith and Ingrid Bergman also did that.
And Youn is possibly the only way to give Minari something, since in all the other categories it is contending there's a very solid frontrunner and the movie is not even the possible spoiler, best original score aside.
Anonymous: FAR worse. And relating to my previous comment - that's another rabbit hole you'd do well to avoid as long as you can.
Okay, I finally got around to watching Vinterberg's speech and boy what a beautiful tribute to his late daughter. So many great speeches from tonight.
Louis: Who would you cast as Jaime Escalante in a modern day version of "Stand and Deliver"?
Saw Sound of Metal, which I thought was fantastic. BRILLIANT sound design, very easily my win for sound mixing, and quite possibly one of the best of all time in that category. Also, was that song at the end nominated anywhere, because it should have been.
Ahmed-5
Cooke-4
Raci-5(My win, even considering how much I loved Mendelsohn)
Ridloff-3
Amalric-3(A weird, I think, unnecessary role, but he's an amazing actor and he does the best he can with it.)
Couple more things regarding Sound of Metal. Watching it with headphones on was WEIRD and GREAT. Also, a deserved nomination for editing just for one small moment alone, and that's the decision to stay on Paul Raci for that exact amount of time at the end of his last scene.
One thing I love about it this year’s Oscars is that in most years Sound of Metal would probably just be a tech player. It would be deserving in any year but this year they’ve given more focus to indie films and I couldn’t be happier for them.
Mitchell:
Probably Oscar Isaac.
Louis: Could I have your thoughts on 'Right Hand Man' and 'Hurricane' from Hamilton. The latter is probably my least favourite out of the 46 tracks, as it's where Miranda's lesser vocal ability compared to everyone else is at its most obvious.
Louis, are you planning to watch Blackadder Goes Forth before the Oscars.
Anonymous: He'll watch it eventually. I'll probably ask him again by the end of the summer.
Luke, if you'd discovered the blog now, what would've surprised you the most.
Glenn: If I were my 16 year old self again then De Niro being a 4.5 & 9th in the 76 Lead ranking for Taxi Driver and Christian Bale having only 2 fives.
Louis: Could Sean Connery go up for The Name Of The Rose. He might be an interesting one to review. If not, its okay.
Tahmeed:
Right Hand Man - (I mean quite good as kind of a more "plot heavy" dramatic one in every regard. This from the opening of the introduction of the British ships which is genuinely ominous. Love then though the intro for George Washington as though he's a wrestler, with his monologue that is matching in that intensity with a particularly strong info dumping of setting up the position. This though then it basically creating the action in the song, of Hamilton's suggestions building off of Washington's additional methods, to become the man worthy as the right hand man. I'll say if any song that seems ready for a cinematic expansion, it is this one, as it basically has the rhythm for cinematic action scenes/ cinematic editing, and brilliant done as such.)
Hurricane - (I would agree Miranda's vocals don't quite carry the song, though I'd say that is partly in comparison to the other songs that are more overtly ballads as this one is. The rapping is better suited for his talents. I think the song actually is quite good as itself as Hamilton's overt ballad, though I would kind of want to hear it sung by someone else.)
Anonymous:
I've already answered that question.
Luke:
Probably not.
R.I.P. Richard Rush
What are your top 10 performances in movie musicals?
Anonymous: I think he posted that list recently on Carl Anderson's review for Jesus Christ Superstar.
Does anyone have Louis' thoughts on Michael Covino in News of the World? I tried searching for them.
Matt:
Covino - (His performance is just ridiculous. I mean the character itself feels ridiculous, I mean they're that hard-bent pedophiles as a group? Feels like they'd quit after the first guy bites it. Anyways though Covino doesn't help things by over selling every line as ridiculous caricature. He comes off as more silly than scary, and I don't think that was really the point. I mean casting like this I always take exception to anyways, "hey he was good for a goof off friend, great choice for psycho pedophile!", well statement doesn't make sense nor does this performance.)
Louis what are your top ten live action musicals?
Calvin: Thanks.
Anonymous:
Prepare for the musical list for a guy who doesn't' really like musicals:
1. Inside Llewyn Davis
2. Cabaret
3. Topsy-Turvy
4. La La Land
5. Pennies From Heaven
6. This is Spinal Tap
7. The Wizard of Oz
8. Phantom of the Paradise
9. Jesus Christ Superstar
10. Little Shop of Horrors
Louis: There’s actually a musical called “The Guy Who Didn’t Like Musicals”. It’s on Youtube and has a Little Shop-like tone.
Robert:
I suppose I should check it out then.
^^I second the fuck out of The Guy Who Didn't Like Musicals. Before I went properly viral on TikTok I got most of my following from posting fan theories about that show.
Michael: I swear, I really want Jeff Blim to play Jim Carrey’s son in something. His elastic face, mannerisms, and even his voice are so reminiscent.
Louis: Out of curiosity, have you seen any of the Oscar nominated short films this year?
Louis: Your thoughts on this?
https://youtu.be/llGvsgN17CQ
Louis and guys: Yesterday the Academy announced the list of presenters. With the exception of performances, tell me who will present the categories of best director and picture?
Shaggy: Bong Joon-ho is presenting Director, but no info on who's presenting Picture.
Shaggy: I think Harrison Ford is presenting picture but no clue on the others.
Shaggy: Regina King is presenting director and I very whish Bong Joon-ho is presenting picture
Louis: Did you ever settle on a rating for Saoirse Ronan in Ammonite?
how would you rank James Horners nominations for Score?
Everyone: What would be your thoughts on the following Anime OPs/Endings?
Braveshine - Fate/stay night: Unlimited Blade Works
Papermoon - Soul Eater
Mob Choir - Mob Psycho 100
Strength - Soul Eater
Hunting for Your Dream - Hunter X Hunter
Louis: Your favourite Simpson chalkboard and couch gags.
Aidan:
Yes, out of the animated shorts: Burrow, If Anything Happens I Love You and Yes-People.
Out of Live Action Shorts: Feeling Through, The Letter Room and Two Distant Strangers.
Anonymous:
2.5 if I'm being generous.
Tahmeed:
Hilarious but also rather pointed.
Tim:
1. Braveheart
2. Aliens
3. A Beautiful Mind
4. Apollo 13
5. Field of Dreams
6. House of Sand and Fog
7. Titanic
8. Avatar
Anonymous:
As much as I'm a fan of the Simpsons, seasons 2ish through 10ish, those gags were never much of a focal point for me.
Louis: Your thoughts on each of those short films?
Louis, if you were an Academy voter, would you always vote for your #1 pick? (such as in Hopkins vs Boseman for this year).
Anonymous: why wouldn't he?
Tim: I mean, my win for Best Actor is Hopkins,but if I was a voter I'd pick Chadwick Boseman.
I'll be honest, I'm the same as Matt on this front. All things considered, Hopkins gives an amazing performance, but (a) he's already won an Oscar (which isn't to say people shouldn't win multiple Oscars but he's got one and it was richly deserved) (b) he was campaigning more for the film than his performance, he doesn't seem to really care about winning, and (c) Boseman is richly deserving, he's my runner-up anyway so I don't feel compromised at all as a voter if I make that choice.
I feel like people act like narratives should never play a part in voting but the fact is, every year they do, and it feels weird to call them out this year of all years when we have such a strong lineup.
Aidan:
Burrow - (Lovely animation, and just generally a sweet simple little story.)
If Anything Happens I Love You - (I mean due to the set-up I was waiting for the hammer to fall the whole time, and when it did, I don't think I reacted in the devastated way that was expected. Having said that it is still a potent sort of visual representation of grief and happiness.)
Yes-People - (I don't think it actually quite achieved what it was trying to do even in its limited screentime. Not terrible or anything but didn't quite work for me.)
Feeling Through - (Heartfelt and effectively moving. Does it push a little hard at times for the sentiment, a little, but not enough that it truly undercuts what is a sweet story of supporting one another.)
The Letter Room - (One of the better things Oscar Isaac has been in, in awhile. One of those short films though that does feel a bit more primed to be turned into a feature. This as you just kind of skim the surfaces of the relationship develops as this particular prison guard. What we do get is more than decent, but still the surface.)
Two Distant Strangers - (Certainly effective in its depiction of the crux of the piece that unfolds in a time loop tale that doesn't have the sense of fun usually involved, though that is entirely the intention. I will say though I wish the short had more of an actual resolution than just an entirely symbolic one, but hey it is a short, and still overall a rather pointed work.)
Anonymous:
I'd vote for Hopkins. It is only extremely rare circumstances where I wouldn't vote who I think did the best work, and this one doesn't even qualify for me.
While Hopkins is my personal winner too, I wouldn't actually want him to win the Oscar due to the backlash he'd end up receiving from people who haven't seen his work. It does help that Boseman would be one of the best winners in recent memory as well.
Tahmeed:
I do have to say, I don't think one should ever act based on satiating the reaction of ignorant twitter users, even when it comes to something as innocuous as an award.
Side Note: I have found it darkly amusing to see people complaining about Hopkins and the film without actually seen it, when claiming to have seen it though. Not based on their opinion, rather when they describe it as a "standard drama" you know they're not being truthful.
I would say that the backlash has come from both ends, I’ve also seen people unfairly criticise Boseman as being completely unworthy. The discourse in the middle (people expressing preference for one over the other) is fine, it’s the two extremes of people stepping down on the other performance which is distasteful.
Honestly just looking forward to this awards season ending, it’s gotten tiresome.
And yeah anyone who says The Father is just a ‘standard drama’ is going off the poster and maybe the plot description, and thinking it falls along the lines of something like 45 Years.
Louis: Yeah, there's a fair point that there will be backlash from morons no matter what the outcome will be.
As far as I'm concerned, awards season ends for me the second Louis posts his overall winners. It's just too exhausting to keep up with everything, especially this year.
It's weird because I really wish this year's Oscars was happening in more normal circumstances, which would make it less exhausting and toxic overall, but on the other hand in more normal circumstances a lot of the nominations I love probably wouldn't have happened.
Tahmeed: Back when I was really passionate about Awards Season in general, I took more notice of the critics awards (50 or more) and when most of them came up with the same results, I started to feel fatigued from it as it went along. Now it's only Nomination day that I get excited & anxious about every year. 2020 has been another great year but I'm looking forward to moving on with the bonus rounds again.
Louis: For a 50s Dead Ringers, what do you think of either Olivier or Mason as the twins? Maybe have Laughton direct it.
And I hope the 80 Lead lineup will be posted today or tomorrow so I could start working on the Films to Watch list.
I don't think the costumes in ma rainey's is terrible by any means but i am baffled that it is winning all the awards when emma is right there.
Luke: If anything, I think Louis will post his “My Wins” video next just to make a new comments section, like he did during the 2016 & 2017 awards season.
Footage of Leto in House of Gucci just leaked and I got to say, he’s looking primed for a Razzie.
Florian Zeller already has a promising follow-up in the works with 'The Son' starring Hugh Jackman and Laura Dern.
Calvin: That’d be poetic justice, you could FEEL his thirst for another Oscar behind all that make-up in the leaked photos.
Luke: I'm looking forward to his next two movies The Daughter and The Mother.
Luke: Can't wait for his next movie after The Son: The Holy Spirit.
I’ve actually read his play for The Mother and it’s really good, Huppert was in a production before so maybe we’ll get her live-action rendition. Looking forward to reading The Son.
your ranking for Billy Wilder's nominated Screenplays?
Pretty sure Zeller's 'The Cousin' is going to top all of his other efforts.
P24RS:
Mason would be ideal for the darkness needed. Laughton certainly would be an interesting choice as well.
Luke:
All for more Zeller at this point, hope his sophomore effort is just as good.
Tim:
1. Sunset Blvd.
2. Double Indemnity
3. The Apartment
4. Ace in the Hole
5. The Lost Weekend
6. Ninotchka
7. Ball of Fire
8. The Fortune Cookie
9. Some Like It Hot
10. Sabrina
11. Hold Back the Dawn
12. A Foreign Affair
Although he was never nominated for a genuinely bad screenplay.
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