Thursday 6 January 2022

Alternate Best Actor 1966: Uttam Kumar in Nayak

Uttam Kumar did not receive an Oscar nomination for portraying Arindam Mukherjee in Nayak. 

Nayak is a great film about a movie star reflecting upon his path to his success while on a long train ride. The film works both as a great character study of this man and also as an often biting commentary on Bollywood by Satyajit Ray. It frankly is one of the very best films where a filmmaker comments on the film. This as it manages to delve quite deeply into its central examination while also having the right levity that avoids the questionable navel-gazing of similar endeavors.  

Uttam Kumar in the central role must play many different shades of this character, though the one we meet most frequently is the man on the train. Where Arindam has become fully established as a star and now just has to deal with essentially being the most famous person wherever he may be. On the surface, the other passengers on the train see him as Kumar delivers the sort of star presence you'd want and expect from such a figure. There is the innate larger-than-life kind of shyness oddly enough within his performance that is fitting for someone who has a level of discomfort in his fame. Kumar's performance exudes the sort of needed tempered charisma in his performance in showing the man looking away often, or looking down within his sunglasses, to not be the center of attention even if his nature seems to force himself to be. Kumar is captivating in the right unassuming way. This with the sort of reluctance to be the star, yet the evidence of his stardom is there even as he tries to hide it in his own way. 

We see the sheer charisma in Kumar's portrayal of  Arindam on the train but so well wielded here. This as Kumar has this natural quality in every moment of interaction as everyone is impressed by him, while also having their own sort of perspective and means about it. Of course, when asked for an autograph or complicated, Kumar finds this effortless and really quite a perfect combination of the manner in reaction. There is that bit of shyness about it, but also the natural graciousness. He has that innate likability of a star that is easy to see his power in the public consciousness even if there is that degree of reluctance about him. One of the best moments of his performance though is the woman who approaches to get his autograph, Aditi Sengupta (Sharmila Tagore). The graciousness we see leave as she indicates that she is from a magazine, and Kumar's delivery of Arindam questioning if she is a reporter, is perfection. Kumar articulates this quiet frustration of a man whose words have likely been twisted in the past and almost sees press workers as hounds feeding off him. It is only after she reveals her magazine is not film-related that we see this manner ease back a little, though there is a guardedness that Kumar brings in his overly formal way at the beginning of her interview. 

Kumar is amazing though as he begins to articulate his life more so including his state as the "hero" to the public and how fickle his situation is. Kumar delights though in speaking his truth with an affable bluntness within the man willing to speak towards his difficult situation while seeming to shake off the deeper questioning at first. We see him as the man on the train and Kumar is wonderful. I think he makes the right choice in being so personable that is both who he is, yet also this fashioned facade necessary to be the star. He isn't false, yet he's also not wholly genuine. Kumar realizes this really just through his eyes in a way this as there is this knowing quality of the man, knowing his position, to the point he must examine his surroundings in a kind of peculiar way while trying to be genuine still as a man. Although this man is filled with anxieties. 

The anxieties are realized throughout though most obviously at first in a brilliant dream sequence where Arindam walks around in joys in the literal riches of the paper currency filling his mind before it begins to actually devour him. Kumar's performance so powerfully shows the superficial joy that quickly switches to existential horror as he is pulled down while an old friend of his looks on without lending any help. After this, and in his next conversation with Aditi, Kumar reveals a more honest man in so many ways. There isn't the obvious attempt at charm, rather the fixation upon his mind even if he tries to laugh it off. This begins his revelations of the past, as he reveals the point he took on his first role in a film as "the hero". Kumar is excellent in crafting such a younger man not in age, but in nature. There isn't the "weight" of success, but rather the weight of ambition that Kumar so embodies. The charisma is reduced and we just see the young man filled with conflict even in this decision though as he is advised against the career as merely a "film actor". 

The film recounts as he goes through his history as an actor and rises to prominence through a series of reflections. Including his early days as a supporting actor to the established star, a stodgy wooden actor with an ego. Kumar is great in this singular scene in doing a few things at once. What we see though is a definite sense of personal conviction as Arindam considers his lines and the actual purpose of his character. There is the concentration and ambition in his work, just as there isn't quite the achievement yet. He shows articulately though the young actor fashioning his technique and not really all that amused by the older actor flaunting his clumsy so-called talents in front of him, though Arindam is in the position that still requires him to defer to the man, at first. The conflict of his earlier times though subsides when on set with the needed confidence of an up and comer. Kumar portrays the confidence needed to become the star he desires to be, even if the sense of the inexperienced youth is still there. This as he responds to the old man with nervousness even as approaches his role with that conviction. 

Kumar is exceptional in the following chronological scene of Arindam pondering the situation of the older actor attempting to "sabotage" his performance while he begins to drink for the first time. Kumar brings this assurance of self in his delivery of the man's technique and understanding of film acting. It is with a sincere passion he speaks every word of his frustration with the old man, and confidence in his own belief in understanding film acting. This is against though still the whole display where Kumar's movements are filled with the unease of a man unsure of his success even as he is on the precipice of it. We return to this relationship as the older actor looks for help from the now successful Arindam, and again remarkable is the ease with which Kumar shows the star in this conversation. This is as he's fully in control listening to the old man's woes now. The ambition fulfilled, and now certain ease as he dismisses the old man entirely in front of his face. 

What we see then is in his journey a man in so many ways the man compromising for his ambition, this also in his days with his friend from the dream, an activist, he once supported however in favor of his career ignored. Kumar doesn't depict a bad man in Arindam's changes rather contrasts the passion of unsure youth against that compromise that creates an older man filled with anxiety, but success. Kumar is moving in crafting with such intimate detail, even in a couple of scenes the sense of personal defeat in a way, and that now different conflict that grows. That anxiety of the man perhaps sacrificing himself in a way. Kumar brilliantly internalizes the struggle, less as this active ignorance and more so the ease of bottling up it to maintain his image. Of course, a strange, and far more duplicitous mirror reveals itself when an actress comes seeking his help only to act her way in a rather maniacal ruse to manipulate him. Kumar's reaction embodying the strangeness of the situation, but also this painful infliction as he sees the hollowness of the act, an act he arguably has engaged with, though perhaps less purposefully. Now this journey though isn't about an easy solution to better himself, nor is it about a man accepting his downfall. It is rather a powerful idea of a man just honestly coming to terms with his decisions for both and better and worse. In turn this is why I love Kumar's performance of Arindam's reflections, which are not about big changes, but the subtle shifts within the conversation with Aditi. He eases his manner, becomes more open, but also more tender in a way. Kumar eases away any facade and just shows the man of it all. He speaks his reflections with understanding to his mistakes but also the ways in which he achieved success. Kumar finds such a nuanced grace in crafting this quiet yet potent arc, of not this major change, but rather a man coming to terms with himself both his anxieties and really his accomplishments. His final moment with Aditi is just one of a simple humanity, and warmth. Kumar expresses just earnestly a sense of connection and there is such genuine power in this against his other previous interactions with others that were all influenced by his stardom in some way. The greatness of this performance and film, is the elegance both Kumar and Ray bring in this careful examination that never is one note. Rather there is a true power in Kumar's portrayal of Ray's brilliantly written part, of every facet of this man. This both the big and the small moments. The quiet and the dramatic. Kumar simply embodies every moment of Arindam's journey. This is to the point we seem to understand him as a star, as an actor, and both as a sellout, and as an honest man. 

132 comments:

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

This is the happiest I've ever been from an upgrade. Phenomenal work, and I'm ecstatic that a male Bengali performance finally got a 5.

ArtSelwyn said...

Hi Louis,
your thoughts and ranks on Margaret Avery and Oprah Winfrey ("The Color Purple''). Thanks!
Best,

Luke Higham said...

He's definitely in the top 5.

Louis: If you're seeing it tonight, thoughts on Alias Nick Beal and the cast.

Anonymous said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Luke Higham said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

RatedRStar said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Emi Grant said...

R.I.P. Sidney Poitier

Aidan Pittman said...

R.I.P. Sidney Poitier

Robert MacFarlane said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

RIP Sidney Poitier.

HTT said...

Rest In Piece to the groundbreaking Sidney Poitier

ruthiehenshallfan99 said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Tim said...

R.I.P. Sidney Poitier

Calvin Law said...

RIP Sidney. One of my favourite actors ever, will be missed.

Ytrewq Wertyq said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Maciej said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Michael McCarthy said...

Rest well, Sidney Poitier. You’ve certainly earned it.

Louis Morgan said...

R.I.P to a legend.

8000S said...

R.I.P. Sidney Poitier

Louis Morgan said...

The Tender Bar I found a major improvement over Suburbicon and The Midnight Sky in terms of George Clooney's directorial oeuvre...but I loathed both of those films. Overall I found this film to sadly misguide itself, as it sadly isn't as much of a companion piece with C'Mon C'Mon as the trailer made it out to be. That's however not my objection. The problem is the lead character is such a lump (both as a kid and an adult) and just a Dickens style protagonist in the worst sense. Sadly, unlike Dickens, it doesn't focus enough on the supporting characters. I did like the film when it focused more on the working class family (even with Clooney's very on the nose musical choices) behind our young man coming of age, but sadly it far too often focuses on Tye Sheridan being boring and charmless away from them. These scenes aren't terrible (for the most part), just bland like our leading man. There was something here, I think, definitely some good moments in there (mostly via the uncle/nephew relationship despite it being lopsided at both ages in terms of performance), but overall feels like a missed opportunity.

Sheridan - 2
Ranieri - 2
Rabe - 3
Lloyd - 3.5
Martini - 1.5

I think Affleck has the kind of banner year that hurts him in terms of a potential nomination since support I think will be divided between both of his films (similar to say Sam Rockwell for Richard Jewell and Jojo Rabbit), rather than where one liked performance supports a loved one to recognition.

ArtSelwyn:

I have covered this previously.

Calvin Law said...

Liked The Tender Bar even less than you, might’ve been the longest it took me to finish a film of that kind of length and boy was everything just, so, bland. Ugh. Thank god this won’t be a contender, I’d be MAD.

Tim said...

your thoughts on Ceorge Clooney as a filmmaker?

Tim said...

*George

Matthew Montada said...

RIP Peter Bogdanovich & Sidney Poitier

Calvin: ratings for the cast of The Tender Bar?

Matt Mustin said...

So can George Clooney just not direct anymore, like, what happened?

Bryan L. said...

^Same, but with Tye Sheridan? What happened? He seemed off to a strong start with Mud & Joe, but since then…

Robert MacFarlane said...

The second Tye Sheridan hit puberty, his screen presence vanished like a fart in the wind.

Calvin Law said...

Can I just say too, delighted to see Kumar get an upgrade, fantastic turn.

Matthew:

Affleck: 3.5
Sheridan and Ranieri: 2
Rabe: 3
Lloyd: 3
Martini: 1

Calvin Law said...

Also in fairness to Sheridan, his recent work isn’t great but the roles themselves aren’t too good as written either.

Anonymous said...

Louis: Thoughts on Johnny Flynn in Beast and the cast of The Tender Bar?

Anonymous said...

Louis: If you were to count Inside for film, where it would rank in your top 25? (if at all).

Marcus said...

RIP Sidney Poitier

Louis: Will you consider reviewing Poitier for To Sir with Love?

Calvin Law said...

Nishijima and Danielsen Lie winning NSFC just made my day.

Calvin Law said...

Cruz and Negga too, it’s like a dream come true.

Luke Higham said...

Louis and Calvin: Is Danielsen Lie Lead or Supporting because I've assumed that he was the former.

Calvin Law said...

Supporting. Reinsve is the only lead.

Also damn. Hamaguchi for Best Director!

Luke Higham said...

I'm actually pleased about that placement, a little less worried about Louis not reviewing all his fives in that category.

Calvin Law said...

With bonus reviews I’m always of the opinion that Louis should just review all of his 5’s no matter what.

Luke Higham said...

My predictions for the lineups are:
Supporting:
Smit-McPhee
Hinds
Dornan
Kotsur
Leto/Faist

Leung
Affleck (Last Duel)
Wright
Holland
LaPaglia
Okada
Lie
Alvarez/Faist (If not nominated)
Dafoe/Strathairn
Cooper + Penn/Waits

Lead:
Smith
Cumberbatch
Washington
Garfield (I think he's locked on for a nod)
Dinklage (I pray recency bias will get him in over DiCaprio)

Patel
Cage
Jones (Nitram)
Phoenix
Nishijima
Cooper
Hoffman
Rex
Birney/Isaacs
Rogowski (Great Freedom)

Luke Higham said...

And Burnham as a bonus if Louis does decide to do a write-up on him.

8000S said...

Louis: I remember in your review of Ford's performance in The Big Heat how you felt that Douglas, Mitchum and Milland would have reached the heights for a truly great performance. Supposedly, Jerry Wald, who was originally going to produce the film, had Robinson in mind for the role. And while he wasn't considered, what do you think of Dana Andrews in the part? Also thoughts on the idea of Robinson in the leading role too.

Shaggy Rogers said...

Hey guys! Tell us who the Golden Globe winners will be tomorrow

Picture (Drama): Power of the Dog
Picture (Comedy/Musical): West Side Story
Actor (Drama): Will Smith
Actor (Comedy / Musical): Andrew Garfield
Actress (Drama): Kristen Stewart
Actress (Comedy / Musical): Rachel Zegler
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose
Director: Steven Spielberg
Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
Animated Feature: Luca
Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car
Score: Dune
Song: "Be Alive" – King Richard

Louis Morgan said...

Tim:

I mean what is there to say at this point, but a case of ever diminishing returns. This as he began his directing career with an imperfect, but really interesting and daring film in Confessions of a Dangerous Mind. You could sense someone willing to find his vision and take the right kind of chances there. That was followed by a legit fantastic film in Good Night and Good Luck, which was such an efficient yet still stylish film, that hit its points so well an did it like a consummate professional. After that though it has been such a mixed bag, with The Idea of March being the "highlight" however even that is a middling film largely working off the screenplay. Following that you have Suburbicon and The Midnight Sky, both complete misfires in every direction. Followed by his most recent effort, while better than those, feels like of a truly uninspired filmmaker, which is a shame since his first two films were wholly inspired. A real shame, as the talent for directing clearly was there, not sure where it went to.

Robert:

Still convinced some curse purged all his talent and gave it to Barry Keoghan.

Anonymous:

Flynn - (Tricky one to assess as enigmatic performances are so tricky themselves, because how much should one give away, and in turn how much can a performance reveal. I think there have performance that do it brilliantly, some poorly, meanwhile Flynn I think does it decently. This as he does have the right unpredictable edge, however much of what we must understand of his character comes more so from Buckley's reactions. I think Flynn is fine in crafting a figure we can graft feelings towards, though I don't think he exists beyond that, though again I think this is in many ways the intention of the film.)

Sheridan - (Boy, that smile of his, boy does it not inspire interest nor does it charm. Sheridan is trying here, and that's just it, all I see is trying. Trying to be natural, trying to be charming, trying to seem part of this working class family, trying to play this emotion that emotion. In turn he is a whole lot of nothing other than a lot of trying that doesn't amount to much, and makes for a bland and not at all endearing lead.)

Ranieri - (Just a really boring child performance. You get no sense of the kid really in terms of his emotion or his potential. The moment where he's solving puzzles with such skill, what it feels like is a kid reading lines, not a kid with the smarts and potential.)

Rabe - (Mixed performance I think there are good moments here in her work but a lot of iffy ones too. There are moments where she feels so honesty in portraying the mother's personal anxieties or her love, but she can't quite cohere the two together.)

Lloyd - (Loved his one major moment as we really got to see what Lloyd can bring as an actor, that sadly filmmakers really are making use of, still love seeing Lloyd in a film of any kind really. Unfortunately though I hate how he exits without a hint of fanfare. So lame, particularly after Lloyd wholly delivering in the moment of the grandfather stepping up.)

Martini - (Atrocious performance as the bad dad. One note, and just horrendous. Yes the type of role that easily trip up an actor, but it can be done. Martini's performance though plays hard into every cliche in the worst possible way, he definitely should watch Dwight Yoakam in Sling Blade.)

Anonymous:

It would be around #15.

Marcus:

Yes.

8000's:

Andrew 100% as I think it would pull on his emotional side that was such an often unused treasure trove. Robinson is hard to think of, only because he'd completely change the dynamics of the film given his age, it would make so much of it so different, however good he would be, I do know that.)

Calvin:

It is pretty fascinating where the "big" critical groups went this year (And overall there are critical "favorites, but none of the categories have been true runaways). Although I think it will still be a tough road for Drive, My Car, every win helps.

Calvin Law said...

I did want to give Sheridan a punch with every grin he made. And agreed that I don’t think DMC will necessarily make it into BP in the end due to the nature of the film, but it’s in good company with its set of wins.

Luke Higham said...

Louis: See any recommendations.

Mitchell Murray said...

Well, its been a couple days since I last commented so I wanted to mention 3 things...

1) I've started watching "The Sopranos" finally, and have already completed the first season. I can absolutely see how it inspired several succeeding TV series, simply as a high profile and mature show centered around a morally complex lead. I'm also glad that Gandolfini's performance lives up to the hype.

2) I rewatched "Return of the Jedi" after many years, and while it's far goofier than I remembered, it's highly entertaining nonetheless. The Ewok battle in particular is just a treasure trove of silly fun.

3) Last but certainly not least, may the groundbreaking and one of a kind performer that was Sidney Poitier rest in ever lasting peace; I know that his legacy, charisma and body of work will stand the test of time.

8000S said...

Louis: Your thoughts on John Ford's direction and Frank Nugent's screenplay for The Quiet Man.

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

Louis: If you've gotten that far, could I have your thoughts on the 5th and 8th episodes of Ted Lasso season 2? ('Rainbow' and 'Man City' respectively).

Shaggy Rogers said...

Luke: Speaking of Peter Bogdanovich I have the recommendation They All Laughed (1981). For all its tragedy it carried for years it still remains one of the last best Bogdonovich films and also has a great performance by Audrey Hepburn.

Mitchell Murray said...

On another note, I also started watching "Star Wars Rebels" and man...Steve Blum has done a bit of everything, hasn't he?

Luke Higham said...

Louis: Thoughts on Alias Nick Beal and the cast. I'm pleased you've saved Ray Milland.

Louis Morgan said...

Alias Nick Beal I rather liked a Faustian noir, though with definitely a 40's code ending that brings the proceedings down just a little bit. Still quite effective in its intent, particularly in the realization of the titular character who I have a feeling greatly influenced the devil by any other name as seen Needful Things.

Ray Milland just signed up for the next backlog.

Totter - 4
Mitchell - 3.5
Macready - 3
Wall - 3

8000's:

Ford's direction here is trying to create as romantic while also comedic realization of Ireland one can imagine. There are the two sides of this though where I think he excels here within both. This with managing the tones more effectively here than some others films where he plays with it a lot, e.g. the Searchers. This as the tone is that of a variation, and a variation befitting a film that is sort of "Hangout" film in its style in so many ways. This as Ford more than anything wants you appreciate this land and this people, and that he does quite magnificently. This as the way he captures the scenery here is stunning and he does just want you to appreciate the beauty of it. This though both really in moment of bright splendor, but even nights like the way he follows Mary-Kate as she returns home in the story weather. He pays as much attention though to the interiors as he does the exteriors though in really the intimacy of the humble cottage of Sean and of course the pub. I think with that though is where Ford's work is so special though is the vibrancy of the spirit of his work, in the use of so many folk songs and tunes throughout, creating that vibrancy, and such an immaculate sense of place. Here I think he succeeds in making one appreciate the two eventual lovers walking through the grassy hills, or just a group of men quietly singing a song. Ford pays as much attention to that as he does the plot, which Ford doesn't hesitate with when that is required. Whether it be Sean's remembrance dream, that is a terrific disparate moment from the rest of the film by Ford with a strong emotional undercurrent, or the fun itself, which is all about comedic bits Ford realizes throughout with such obvious pleasure. A tapestry of nonsense set to the fighting tune, and love Ford's sequencing here with music particularly say Francis Ford's revival scene, or the final "curtain call" moment that is just beautifully done particularly the ending with Kate's secret message.

Luke Higham said...

Thoughts on any Recommendations you've seen lately and what is your category placement for Milland.

Louis Morgan said...

8000's:

Now Nugent's screenplay is as important, really more so, in terms of the film's success, a screenplay that notes what's Ford's department and what's his. Nugent takes what is a very simple story in its original text, and basically takes a little ember of an idea to craft this film. The main narrative of romance and culture class I think is excellent in terms of bringing us into the world, and creating a forward momentum within the film. This in crafting structure of the piece, there are specific beats that create the proper pacing for the story, and all of that works. This particularly in terms of creating the man both realizing where he is and coming to terms in what he has to do. This while also having fun illustrating what exactly that means in terms of courtship, and how the final result of the fight itself is actually a rather pleasant one. What makes this is a great screenplay though is all the little things throughout that give it such color. In that Nugent doesn't waste a supporting role here to add some character. Whether it be the people at the train station, the IRA members at the bar, both the protestant and catholic clergy, and of course Michaeleen Flynn. Every character has a reason to exist and exist beyond their moment here. Take even the character of Feeney, who has great toady lines throughout, though Nugent builds his slight rebellion until his bet against him, that is a great comedic payoff. This is found throughout the film, and as much as Nugent makes the romance work, what he also makes work is every single little facet around it. This to the point with the "curtain call" moment, we know and have enjoyed every face we see as they make their final bows.

Louis Morgan said...

Tahmeed:

Rainbow - (I'll admit talking any Ted Lasso episode is tough as they typically have so many big and little moments throughout it is hard to cover them all. Loved the episode though in the section of Nate finding his confidence, though perhaps potentially leading a negative path, and just every thing about Roy living out the end of every romantic comedy, that was just fantastic in every way.)

Man City - (Also loved this episode for depicting so powerfully actually Ted's sort of vulnerability with the intense catharsis as he reveals himself after the previous tensions with Sharon. While also depicting just the game of losses as this kind of relentless culminating with Jamie and his father, with Roy, which I'll just say just felt so earned, being so genuinely heartwarming in the purest sense.)

Luke:

Totter - (Her performance occasionally gets a little breathy at times falling into easier melodrama. Overall though I did like her performance and thought she was good in balancing the seductress with that of the actual caring moments. Excelling in particular those later moments particularly in terms of showing the sort of exhaustion in her manner in playing the seemingly decent man again and again towards ruin.)

Mitchell - (A good performance overall though wholly overshadowed by Milland though I think that was the point largely. I think Mitchell in a way could've showed more change towards the negative at times, whereas he is largely just kind of consistent here in portraying the man trying to do the right thing but making the easier choices that take him on a bad path. He makes fine for the white knight to be blemished, if perhaps more could've been done overall.)

Macready - (Brings a quiet sort of nobility here, and does decently enough in his big speech.)

Wall - (Liked her quiet little chemistry with Mitchell in their early scenes that plays well against her sense of disappointment in their later interactions.)

Louis Morgan said...

Luke:

On the fence in terms of Milland's placement, he's right on the border, though I'd be reviewing him either way.

8000S said...

Louis: Speaking of Milland, what do you think of him as John Doe for a 40's Se7en? Yeah, James Mason is kind of an obvious choice, but I also think Milland would be fantastic in that part.

Also, thoughts on the scene where Sean remembers the fight in The Quiet Man and the scene where Captain Brittles talks to his wife's grave in She Wore a Yellow Ribbon.

BRAZINTERMA said...

Hello Louis and folks!
The list of nominees for my award came out: BRAZINTERMA 2021 of Brazilian cinema. There's a movie that many of you loved is on the list.

List of nominees in ENGLISH: https://letterboxd.com/brazinterma/list/2021-brazil-ranking/

LINK for voting (it's in Portuguese, but use my Letterboxd list for guidance): forms.gle/4NRBGiQPtvabckYw8

Anonymous said...

O Young-su won the Golden Globe.

Louis Morgan said...

Anonymous:

It would be hilarious if this year they just made only strong choices, as O is very inspired, Strong is a great choice and De Bose is definitely a worthy selection as well.

Louis Morgan said...

8000's:

How to do it in terms of a purely visual scene, you know everything that goes on in each frame, beautifully shot in a way that's vibrant still but very different from what we see in the rest of the film. What's great though is just the image of the downed boxer, Sean's trainers smiling uncaring faces, against Wayne just who conveys so much remorse and pain in that moment.

Another scene that suggests just how wrong it is whenever someone says "Wayne couldn't act", though I'd say he wasn't always really asked to, and you can even take that from his two 49 performances as it was a shame he was nominated for his standard work in "Sands" over this. This here as Wayne successfully conveys the age of the character, and the past here. This as he brings such sincere sentiment in every word suggesting a man just truly still in love with his wife and speaking as he would as though she was still there.

Louis Morgan said...

Drive My Car and Sudeikis, two more great choices.

Louis Morgan said...

Okay, Branagh takes screenplay closer to typical Globes (but hey definitely would take it over Don't Look Up and Being the Ricardos).

Louis Morgan said...

Garfield, unsurprisingly wins Musical or Comedy Actor, and while I don't think these offer much predictive quality (they only matched the steamrollers last year) I do think Garfield may be in the hunt for the win.

Louis Morgan said...

8000's:

Also very much so on Milland, he was an expert at sinister and calculated evil.

Louis Morgan said...

Smith wins drama (not at all surprising), Smit-McPhee wins (actually a little surprising) and Zegler takes comedy/musical actress (Wish Haim could've taken it but not a bad choice). In turn West Side taking Musical/Comedy shouldn't be surprising, but well deserved. Kidman winning drama actress...classic Globes. Campion wins director, maybe a steamroll for her? Maybe.

Matt Mustin said...

I guess I gotta watch Tick, Tick Boom then? *Sigh*

Louis Morgan said...

And The Power of the Dog takes Drama (don't know if this will be a repeat of Nomadland, I have my doubts, but interesting start for it).

Calvin Law said...

Louis: could I have your thoughts on the cinematography of Passing? I know you don’t love the film as much as I do but I think that’s one element of the film that deserves a bit more love overall (second best B&W cinematography this year imo besides Macbeth of course, which reigns supreme).

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

Louis: If you've finished it, your thoughts on Ted Lasso season 2 and your cast ranking for it.

Tim said...

R.I.P. Bob Saget

Luke Higham said...

Louis: If you're seeing either one of my recommendations today, could I have thoughts on it and the cast.

Louis Morgan said...

Tahmeed:

I thought it was also great though I do have to say Sam is an aggressively dull character, and this of all shows I'd imagine would know positive portrayal does not have to equal being uninteresting. Having said that, everything else worked for me, and while this isn't a show for belly-laughs for me, it is a show of consist and bright smile as I'm watching it. This as it just works in really playing within likability in a way that is so dynamic and positively remarkable, and working with just about every type of relationship or narrative it decides to explore. I even I actually really liked Coach Beard's After Hours, which seems to be divisive. Just wholly works for me as a feel good show once again, which honestly is truly impressive.

1. Brett Goldstein
2. Jason Sudeikis
3. Hannah Waddingham
4. Juno Temple
5. Nick Mohammed
6. Brendan Hunt
7. Phil Dunster
8. Harriet Walter
9. Jeremy Swift
10. Sarah Niles
11. Anthony Head
12. Annette Badland
13. Ellie Taylor
14. Ruth Bradley
15. Sam Richardson
16. Cristo Fernandez
17. Toheeb Jimoh

Calvin:

Eduard Grau's cinematography is indeed terrific particularly in terms of evoking period and thematic ideas. This as the way Thompson and Negga are lit is such a major factor within the film, and done so remarkably well. The contrasts here are fantastic in making the blacks and the whites here so striking, and really frequently not emphasizing the greys. Playing with the lighting so frequently to emphasize the central two dynamic, making the moments of "passing" often with such bright whites, then those not, where the blacks are the emphasis. This also just great framing and composition of shots that evokes early 30's films in a way that feels natural yet grants the film a distinct style to it.

Luke:

You don't need to ask every time here Luke, I'll update as I see them.

Down to the Bone I found a note entirely successful film, falls into an eventually promising filmmaker trying to realize their style while struggling a bit in terms of crafting narrative and finding their voice. Definitely not a bad film, with some effective choices that allude to Granik's later superior work, however definitely a first film.

Farmiga - 4
Dillon - 3.5

Luke Higham said...

Louis: I'll keep that in mind, Your thoughts on Farmiga.

Robert MacFarlane said...

Knew that Goldstein would be your MVP for both seasons. Thought on him both years?

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

Louis: Your thoughts on the rest of the Emmy nominated performances and Phil Dunster as well?

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

Louis: Also, where would Season 2 rank among your top TV series, and would any of the performances make it onto your top tens.

Razor said...

Louis: Your top 15 TV episodes of 2021? And maybe your bottom 5 TV performances for that year as well?

Calvin Law said...

Louis: your thoughts on Daniel and Terry confronting each other in the store and the ‘I love you too Robby’ scenes from Cobra Kai Season 4. Glad you agree on Grau’s work.

Marcus said...

Louis: Your thoughts on this Pacino interview about his philosophy on bad movies?

https://www.vulture.com/2019/11/al-pacino-robert-denior-gq-interview-bad-movies.html

Mitchell Murray said...

Well, I think Luke would be interested to know I completed season one of "Star Wars Rebels" this morning - and for now, that might be all I can watch of the show without having an incomplete view of season two.

As a series, I think it mostly serves as a continuation of the tone and visual style set by "Clone Wars". While I wouldn't say it's as good as it's predecessor (from the first season, mind you), it does hone in on a core appeal of the "Star Wars" franchise; Namely, providing a space age swashbuckler with likable - if familiar - characters, and compelling world building. And boy did they know how to give a cliffhanger for season two...

As for MVPs of the voice cast...my would probably be Jason Isaacs, if not Steve Blum once again.

Mitchell Murray said...

Follow up comment: I would say part of my reason for putting "Rebels" under "Clone Wars", at the moment, is that I think they overused some musical cues from Williams' original score just a touch. It was cool to hear and suitably nostalgic, don't get me wrong, but it's one of those situations where less is definitely more.

Also, what would everyone's thoughts be on the following rock songs?

Wrong Side of Heaven - Five Finger Death Punch
Never Too Late - Three Days Grace
Remedy - Seether
Had Enough - Breaking Benjamin

8000S said...

Mitchell: Blum is mostly in everything, yes, but I still like hearing him. Another guy that seems to be in everything is Johnny Yong Bosch, and I do like him, but some people seem to think of him as the Brando or Olivier of voice acting.

Louis: If you haven't yet, give your thoughts on Robert Krasker's work in Odd Man Out. Also your top 5 in cinematography for 1947, 1948 and 1949.

Louis Morgan said...

Luke:

Farmiga - 4(I mean much like the film there is something a little disjointed about her character at times, though I put this more so on the writing and editing than what Farmiga is doing. Overall she does a fine job in just portraying this kind of malaise of someone who is bound to constant repetition when it comes to her addiction. She creates the right sense of ease in this state, against the anxieties she portrays in the moments of more earnest understanding with her children. It is all very low key and for the most part, Farmiga does well with just how low key everything is, however it never becomes something truly substantial within this approach.)

Robert:

Goldstein - (There's much to love about this performance, and I think in conception the achievement is what he is able to do while playing hard into a type. This as the character's baseless is the very rough and crass footballer. Goldstein's performance completely delivers on that idea. This with the innate intensity in his growling voice and the entirety of his demeanor. This with the cold stare that defines him and just the constantly upright frame as though he's prepared for a fight at any point. Goldstein creates that character and is great as that character early on. This brings terrific comedic timing in his moments of blunt anger and exasperation in his interactions with Jamie Tart in particular. Goldstein is the old warrior grunt in the best possible way. Then what is amazing though is the range he discovers within this performance throughout the remainder of season 1 and especially season 2. This as he never betrays his overall take on the character, yet explores so much within that. Goldstein instead manages to find so much range within that set range that is pretty incredible. This with his romantic chemistry with Temple that is wholly winning yet finds so many moving moments in presenting the character's vulnerabilities in relation to the relationship. It is these margins that Goldstein plays with that are just exceptional moments throughout his performance. Or his relationship with his niece where we do get some proper comic moments of being the bruiser with the little girl that brings the right comedy, though this is against though the quietly tender moments, that aren't far off the bruiser but are different from it. Or just his interactions with anyone from the team where Goldstein brings that wonderful variation, that typically is often funny, yet also explores so much of this character so effectively, and often in such an affecting way.)

Louis Morgan said...

Tahmeed:

Sudeikis - (So far Sudeikis has not been a favorite actor of mine, and I'll admit thinking about the initial concept of his character, with the southern accent and ever sunny demeanor I was not sure how this would sustain itself. As the doubters of Ted himself, I was proven wrong. Sudeikis indeed crafts the type of the character with his strong midwestern accent, and his resting smile manner, that does feel tangible. It starts from a place of caricature one would think and Sudeikis though takes it so much further. Now within the Ted style, Sudeikis is just incredibly winning. This brings such an endearing quality to his persistent optimism and running away with every one of his corny lines to the nth degree. He simply is Ted after very little time, and that in itself is an achievement. What he then explores though in terms of realizing the character's own vulnerabilities within that sunny corny guy is something special. This is, because, like Goldstein, it never betrays the overall character, rather feels this natural exploration of this guy. Sudeikis rather shows not what this guy is hiding, but rather what he is overcoming through his choice to be always who he is.)

Waddingham - (Goes to show you in many ways how little of a performer you might get from general exposure, here as Waddingham was known best to the general public prior as just the shame woman from Game of Thrones. Thankfully though we got this chance to show what she was made of beyond that. Although it is interesting that she begins in really the more expected state of the woman in power, which is with this kind of bitterness and innate cruelty in her character. As shown in that prior performance, Waddingham is certainly capable of that and delivers a cutting remark with the ease and graceful viciousness you'd want. That is only just the beginning of her performance and doesn't at all speak towards her whole performance. What we get instead from Waddingham is in turn her coming to terms with her choices early on with someone she didn't really know against the person she comes to know and love. Waddingham in turn is terrific in creating this compelling arc that is both defined by that realization of a kind of humanity every step of the way. I think so much of her performance than are these reactionary moments of realization towards the kindness shown to her or the kindness she reveals to others. Waddingham finds the natural discovery of her heart in such a moving way because it is all through these small moments of friendship and endearing interaction. Her second season I think was less interesting overall, as I wish she had more to do in the owner role, but Waddingham made the most out of everything she did have. This is particularly in her funeral episode where she mines the depths there brilliantly to craft powerfully her sense of conflicted grief and emotion.)

Louis Morgan said...

Temple - (I think more than anything this is a great breath of fresh air for her as a performer. This as for once she gets to play a part that isn't just broken or damaged woman, who is about to be abused by someone. Although Temple often was good in those roles it was certainly limiting. Thankfully Temple here gets to shine in a very different light with the role of Keeley as far more than the upbeat girlfriend character. Of course, in itself, Temple proves herself quite capable in bringing this wholly energetic character who is defined by her positivity about everything, though in a different way from Ted's. Temple rather portrays well this kind of infatuation almost with everyone and everything and does so with such an endearing glee. Again though as much as she's great at this note, she is terrific in finding the variation within it. This is particularly with her chemistry with Goldstein where she does so much in creating the moments of tenderness, and the moments of a great vulnerability in their relationship. This is particularly at the end of the second season where the two are fantastic in quietly airing out their mutual secrets and their reactions are just pitch-perfect.)

Swift - (Swift's performance really begins as well as the expected cliche as the pencil pusher who seems mostly there to be derided by others. Swift does well with the initial sycophancy of the character and makes for a fine little toady type. What is notable about the rest of his performance is that it changes in season one and begins to show that more spirited side of the character. Swift finds the natural sort of segue towards just actually being this cheerful force for good in a way and expresses well this endearing energy that defines the character in the end. In the second season, I'll say his arc was wholly complete and just really had less to do. I did like what he continued off in his little beats here and there however he largely isn't emphasized. Still enjoyed him for what he did have.)

Mohammed - (His first season performance I think is very limited, and while his sort of extremely "modest to a fault" note is enjoyable enough, he really didn't make that much of an impact for me overall. Having said that, I thought he was legitimately terrific in delivering his second season arc. This starts with that same modesty from the outset as the guy always stumbling over his words, though then begins to find his confidence. Mohammed slowly delivers the confidence but with this distinct aggression. The aggression that begins to reveal itself naturally in his performance seems more so fueled by hate, rather than a wish to make himself known. Mohammed naturally becomes this rather bitter figure defined by his sense of self-defeat. Mohammed finds this balance that starts off with him becoming more outgoing in a good way, which spirals towards this man making himself known by making his hatred known. He wholly earns this transformation that is quite striking in the end.)

Louis Morgan said...

Hunt - (Season 1 his work is extremely straightforward in terms of delivering Bob Newhart style deadpan, but that is nothing that should be sniffed at. It is a proper comic deadpan and plays off so well against what Sudeikis is doing in his broad turn. The second season gives him more to do by virtue of his problematic relationship and his solo episode. Hunt's work is still within that general deadpan, however what he does all works within that general deadpan. The consistency with him is the comedy and excels within that.)

Dunster - (Interesting as basically the main character who is often given the least to do. In the first season though he is a properly intolerable pratt frat boy type, and just odes the smug swagger with all the obnoxiousness he should. This is just with the complete lack of modesty in regards to anything and just an obnoxious character. Later in the season though he is good in his few moments in showing perhaps the possibility of growth in his conversation with Keeley and the sadness in his reactions towards the treatment from his father in comparison to his treatment from Ted. The second season is basically just some key scenes for him and Dunster delivers on every single one of these key scenes. His earnestness to be better is well delivered as is his emotional vulnerability in the moment of punching his father, and the scene with Roy. Even in his later scene with Keeley, I love how not despicable Dunster delivers Jamie's message that truly is the better man as there's no swagger or really ill-intent rather just a man saying his piece.)

Louis Morgan said...

Tahmeed:

Series:

1. Succession
2. The Great
3. Mare of Easttown
4. The Underground Railroad
5. Ted Lasso

Actor:

1. Jeremy Strong - Succession
2. Joel Edgerton - The Underground Railroad
3. Lee Jung-jae - Squid Game
4. Nicholas Hoult - The Great
5. David Thewlis - Landscapers
6. Jason Sudeikis - Ted Lasso
7. Oscar Isaac - Scenes From a Marriage
8. Martin Short - Only Murders in the Building
9. Paul Bettany - Wandavision
10. William Zabka - Cobra Kai (Season 3)

Actress:

1. Kate Winslet - Mare of Easttown
2. Olivia Colman - Landscapers
3. Elle Fanning - The Great
4. Jessica Chastain - Scenes From a Marriage
5. Thuso Mbedu - The Underground Railroad
6. Elizabeth Olsen - Wandavision
7. Beanie Feldstein - American Crime Story
8. Sophia Di Martino - Loki
9. Hailee Steinfeld - Hawkeye
10. Natasia Demetriou - What We Do in the Shadows

Supporting Actor:

1. Matthew MacFadyen - Succession
2. Brett Goldstein - Ted Lasso
3. Kieran Culkin - Succession
4. Adam Godley - The Great
5. O Yeong-su - Squid Game
6. Brian Cox - Succession
7. Nicholas Braun - Succession
8. Alan Ruck - Succession
9. Gwilym Lee - The Great
10. Thomas Ian Griffith - Cobra Kai

Supporting Actress:

1. Sarah Snook - Succession
2. Belinda Bromilow - The Great
3. Julianne Nicholson - Mare of Easttown
4. Hannah Waddingha - Ted Lasso
5. Kim Joo-ryoung - Squid Game
6. Phoebe Fox - The Great
7. Juno Temple - Ted Lasso
8. HoYeon Jung - Squid Game
9. Jean Smart - Mare of Easttown
10. J. Smith-Cameron - Succession

Louis Morgan said...

Calvin:

I'll say I think the scene showed that they found their path with Robby as a character, who isn't portrayed as someone whose turned to the "dark side" rather he's just kind of exasperated with flaws of all those trying to influence him.

In terms of the main confrontation Griffith is great scene honestly by underplaying, unlike his original performance, this in just speaking with this matter of fact tone throughout, and acting as though Daniel really can't touch him with anything.

As for the other scene, just brutal, in the right way, with Mariduena's reaction being absolutely heartbreaking in showing how he's so willing to accept Johnny as a father figure only to get that show of vulnerability, accidentally, slapped in his face by Johnny who can't quite get over his failure with Robby.

Marcus:

I think he's got the right attitude, and you do typically see Pacino trying to be fun even if the film isn't working. Honestly, that is the attitude you saw with Raul Julia with Street Fighter and Alan Rickman in Robin Hood, they knew their films weren't good so they tried to make them entertaining at least within their own work. I wish all great actors took this philosophy honestly, rather than someone like De Niro (who is also mentioned in the interview) who really just phones it in.

Louis Morgan said...

Razor:

1. "All the Bells Say" - Succession
2. "Gganbu" - Squid Game
3. "A Simple Jape" - The Great
4. "Illusions" - Mare of Easttown
5. "Retired Janitors of Idaho" - Succession
6. "Indiana Winter" - Underground Railroad
7. "Where I really Come From" - Invincible
8. "Wedding" - The Great
9. "Secession" - Succession
10. "Too Much Birthday" - Succession
11. "Man City" - Ted Lasso
12 ."Chiantishire" - Succession
13. "Stapler" - The Great
14. "Tennessee Proverbs" - Underground Railroad
"15. Sacrament" - Mare of Easttown

Bottom Performances:

Take any five of the VIP's from Squid Game.

Louis Morgan said...

8000's:

Although The Third Man is rightfully hailed as Krasker's crowning achievement, given it is an all-timer, his work on Odd Man Out isn't too far behind. It is extraordinary work on its own, and it is comical that is only third in my ranking that year. The lighting here is amazing, this in the detail that Krasker grants in making the lurid setting of the sitting, but also the style as he obscures with shadow. it is a brilliant combination that makes some simply stunning shots in terms of composition, particularly as it frequently isolate our "odd man out". What I think is most notable here though is his atmospheric work, this as he adapts multiple times in the film particularly that of the snow. That which he captures so beautifully, off setting the darkness that represents the city, while also being almost angelic as denoting in a way the unfortunate fate of our main characters.

1947:

1. Jack Cardiff - Black Narcissus
2. Charles Lawton - Lady from Shanghai
3. Robert Krasker - Odd Man Out
4. Nicholas Musuruca - Out of the Past
5. Lee Garmes - Nightmare Alley

1948:

1. The Red Shoes
2. Bicycle Thieves
3. Drunken Angel
4. William Daniels - The Naked City
5. Guy Green - Oliver Twist

1949:

1. The Third Man
2. The Set-Up
3. Battleground
4. Stray Dog
5. The Small Back Room

Mitchell Murray said...

8000s: I really like Blum as well, as his vocal presence and cadence is instantly recognizable - much like Phil LeMarr who's another favourite of mine.

I'm not overly familiar with Bosch, though, apart from his video game roles in SSF4 and MKX.

Anonymous said...

Louis: Have you ever watched any episodes of Boston Legal? It's James Spader's best performance by far. Can I have your thoughts on this scene from it?

https://youtu.be/IujFjGTHGck

Tahmeed Chowdhury said...

Louis: Your thoughts on Jo Seo and Gianni DeCenzo's performances in Cobra Kai?

RatedRStar said...

Scream 5 just casually sitting....at 93% on Rotten Tomatoes, wow =D.

Razor said...

RatedRStar: I was expecting somewhere around 60-70% but that's awesome. Looking forward to it.

RatedRStar said...

OMG those Sag nominations are insane.

Calvin Law said...

My disgust at Javier Bardem making it into SAG (seriously what the FUCK) is balanced out by my absolute delight at seeing Negga and Cooper get in.

Tim said...

sooo, i guess Dinklage is out?

Calvin Law said...

Okay wait they didn’t nominate Kristen Stewart. Yeah what the fuck?

RatedRStar said...

Bardem, Affleck, Leto, Cooper, Blanchett, both Belfast boys missing, no Dinklage or DiCaprio, no Stewart. Things are getting unpredictable now.

Tim said...

and before the Globes i thought Smit-McPhee would be the one that doesn't translate ...

Luke Higham said...

Louis: Thoughts on the SAG nominations.

Some of these nods feel typical of SAG in all honesty, Being The Ricardos, Affleck and Hudson especially.

I think BAFTA will again give us a better indication.

Luke Higham said...

The Stewart snub is a massive blow.

Calvin Law said...

If Kidman ends up winning the Oscar I will become the Joker.

Shaggy Rogers said...

After SAG, I see the Golden Globes weren't too bad for not nominating Leto and Hudson.

Louis Morgan said...

I'll give a more thorough breakdown later today but these are bonkers in a lot of ways particularly when you look at ensemble.

Belfast without Dornan or Hinds.
King Richard without Ellis.
Don't Look Up without a single individual nod
... not that I'm complaining.
And then no Power of Dog despite three individual nominations.

Tim:

No, his film hasn't been released yet. Today hurt Cooper (in lead) and DiCaprio far more than him.

Luke:

The longlists, which are out today, tell us more than the jury picks will in terms of predictions in the acting categories. Which mainly told us Bafta did not like Nightmare Alley outside of the techs.

Luke Higham said...

Yeah, I'm not worried about Dinklage yet. Stewart was definitely hurt most in her hopes of winning. You're effectively out of the running if you don't have both SAG and BAFTA (Killed Mulligan's chances last year) nominations.

Luke Higham said...

And I think the British contingent will give Hinds enough of a push to make the five.

Calvin Law said...

Hinds and Stewart are still making it in. Genuinely think Cooper is getting in for Supporting.

Louis: do you think Negga has enough momentum to sneak into the Oscar five? She’ll be the lone nod and missed CCA, but I’m hoping SAG (despite its messy nature) ends up being a point in the right direction for her chances.

Robert MacFarlane said...

lol SAG gonna SAG

Robert MacFarlane said...

Anyway, my boy Faist is probably fucked now.

Calvin Law said...

Robert: They had issues getting West Side Story screeners in, I wouldn’t say so at all. He got a BAFTA longlist (as did Alvarez which is a nice surprise).

Calvin Law said...

Although on the note of the BAFTA longlists, only 1 of the 60 acting spots going to a non-English language performance is terrible in a year like this. Although having said that, Reinsve is a great choice.

Robert MacFarlane said...

Calvin: Honestly would cackle with glee if both Faist and Alvarez somehow supplanted the Belast guys as the Supporting Actor duo by some twist of fate.

Calvin Law said...

I for one, would find that very funny.

ruthiehenshallfan99 said...

I've been watching The Six Wives of Henry VIII (1970) and I finished the second episode last night. So far, I've been quite impressed. I'm not sure where he will end up but I'm pretty sure that if he keeps this up, by the end of it all, Keith Michell will dethrone Robert Shaw as my favorite Henry VIII.

The Jane Seymour and Anne of Cleves episodes are the ones I'm watching tomorrow night.

Mitchell Murray said...

Well, on a related note to the SAG nominations, I did finally watch "The Power of the Dog" this afternoon. I would say it's an effective and artistically crafted film, although not a perfect one. It has terrific cinematography and a strong evocation of the era/setting, but I also think the pacing and pay off for certain plot points could've been mined further. That said, both of the central performances were very strong.

Initial cast ratings:

Cumberbatch - 4.5 (could go up, but certainly his best American accent)
McPhee - 4.5
Plemons - 3.5
Dunst - 2.5/3 (Very hit or miss, I'm afraid)
McKenzie - 2.5 (wasted)

Aidan Pittman said...

My own two cents on this year's SAG nominations:

- Honestly didn't think The Power of the Dog would get in ensemble anyways and with 2/3 of the last 3 Best Picture winners missing here too I don't think it hurts it's chances too much at all.
- Both Belfast actors missing in Supporting Actor is pretty bad news for them. Honestly think that this is it for Dornan, and Hinds will probably still get it and I can still see a possible path to victory for him though it's definitely less likely now.
- Yeah, I think Kidman is winning now. Really bad for Stewart's chances that she couldn't get in here and I really don't see anyone else there beating her.
- I think the 5 lead actor nominees here will once again be the same 5 that AMPAS nominates. Bardem will likely get the boost from this, support for Kidman and Sorkin appeal. Not really feeling Don't Look Up making much of a splash now that DiCaprio missed here, even though it got in for ensemble but that may have just been a given since everyone is there, and Dinklage's missing probably was partly due to it's late release, but I don't know if enough people will bother with it at that point.
- Glad Negga got in as I think this was the push she really needed for an Oscar nomination.
- Big news for Cooper who I think is happening now, and I think Haim will end up being a surprise nominee come nominations morning.
- Figured Kostur and CODA would both get in here, though I think this might lead Kotsur to the supporting actor win now if he wins this over Smit-McPhee.

Matt Mustin said...

Can someone explain to me why SAG loves Jared Leto so much, I'm genuinely confused.

Louis Morgan said...

Regarding SAG, which one should remember has weakened as a predictor since the merger. 

Ensemble:

Fascinating that Don't Look Up got in here despite receiving no individual nominations (though you won't hear me complaining). Doubtful all five will translate to best pictures (though the full ten will help.) If I had to guess, I'd say CODA, as it sounds like Kotsur, maybe screenplay and that's it for overall nominations. And I could see either King Richard or House of Gucci missing in the end as well depending on if they can maintain momentum. I could even see (and I hope) for Don't Look Up, as it is weird it got into ensemble and only ensemble. 
Actor:

I think this is the four, then Bardem, who takes Bardem's spot is the question. DiCaprio missing here is a major miss, with the ensemble nod (meaning people who like the film aren't advocating for the individual performances). Now I might lean towards Dinklage for the late release momentum actually. Cooper seems probably done because he couldn't even make the BAFTA long-list, same with Nishijima for an out of left field style pick. No one else really seems plausible at the moment, and not sure who the Stanfield style nominee could even be. 

Actress:

Wow, I did not see that coming with the Stewart snub, then again the film is prickly and prickly about a group that there is love for in the Royal family. In turn it seems unlikely BAFTA will be her savior towards a win, even with Anti-Royalists and love for Diana herself. I think Stewart could get Ethan Hawked quite easily. I will still predict here, however the win seems very unlikely now. 

Gaga and Chastain and moving towards locked status. Kidman probably is happening regardless if her film loses momentum, which I think it will. Colman I expected to be last minute, so her getting in here says it may be an easy ride for her. I thought Hudson could get in here, though I think she won't be nominated in the end (and rightfully so having now seen that paint by numbers film), however she has the "importance" factor to still get in. Cruz missed major by missing SAG and even the BAFTA longlist, Reinsve is the wild card I think, though I won't be predicting her when Stewart could be the last minute nominee instead.

Supporting Actress:

Balfe, Dunst, De Bose all seem VERY comfortable now. Ellis is a major miss, and I don't see the easy rebound for her given she is not a name actor. Blanchett very much needed this after missing the BAFTA longlist, and I think because it's Blanchett she must considered quite viable.

Supporting Actor:

So Kotsur and Smit-McPhee now feel very safe. I do think Hinds will bounce back, however I think both Belfast boys are now very unlikely. Leto I thought would get SAG, but I think he could still miss out. Cooper honestly I originally had as my fifth in my new year's prediction I swapped him out last minute based on the DiCaprio factor. I now have no hesitation to predict him, as I thought he was going to be a last minute nominee if he got in, so getting in this early, is great news for him.

Calvin:

Yes, given she got in for Loving with far less support than this overall. I think she'll probably be a sole nominee, but there's enough of a push for her.

Robert:

Given the Screener issue (De Bose was presumed sight unseen so I think she was probably voted for from some voters without having seen her), so I think he does have an outside chance still.

RatedRStar said...

Matt Mustin: 30 Seconds to Mars fans, definitely =D.

Anonymous said...

Ratings for Respect cast and thoughts on Hudson?

Calvin Law said...

Nishijima missing out on the BAFTA longlist was heartbreaking, especially with the false hope last year gave with Mikkelsen making it in there. Glad you agree Reinsve could be the wildcard, it’s a last ditch hope for me.

Anonymous said...

Louis typically at least 4 SAG acting nominees miss at least, sometimes more rarely less these days, who would you say those would be?

Calvin Law said...

I also don’t have much of an objection to Leto getting in, prefer if it was Pacino and I don’t think he’s amazing, but he’s better than say, Dornan.

Louis Morgan said...

Anonymous:

Hudson - 2.5(Honestly she'd be a 2 without her singing scenes. Hudson I just think is a bad actor, which is a little weird given how much she performs when she sings, which strangely enough made her MVP of Cats since she only sang there. Anyways, when she is singing she is good in bringing Franklin's heart and soul she brought into her songs. When she's not though she carries that same vacant expression and same rather stilted line readings. She just rarely engages into a scene and seems separate from the rest of her cast. When she is singing she is in, when not though she is at odds with whatever is going on in a given scene. She carries nearly the same expression with her family in a loving scene and a moment of intense abuse. It honestly is a little strange because there is such a terrible break between those two aspects of herself as a performer, however it is obviously there.)

Whitaker - 3(Difficult role to pull off without going over the top as the stern dad, but I actually thought Whitaker, for the most part, tempered his hammy tendencies of recent years to be largely decent in the role. Not going too far in the moments of the character's stern anger, and keeping a sense of warmth in his scenes of actually supporting his daughter.)

Wayans - 2.5(Could've been worse but still felt he played really into a rote type here and while he wasn't as atrocious as he could be still wasn't very good.)

McDonald - 3(I liked what she brought with the little she had to do, shame she is such a footnote though in the story.)

Louis Morgan said...

Anonymous:

In terms of what I think would be the most likely situation at 4, and to make it easy, let's say one per category and for fun let's consider the rest of the BAFTA longlists as alternatives.

Actress:

1. Stewart for Hudson
BAFTA: Haim (I do think maybe if Pizza surges last minute), Jones (No without SAG), Lawrence (No without SAG, unless heaven forbid the apocalypse does happen however the ensemble without the individual nods has been strangely comforting to me that it won't be THAT big), McDormand (No, since she won't campaign), Reinsve (Maybe for that Cotillard, Huppert spot, but she doesn't have their prominence), Rushbrook (definitely not), Scanlan (Definitely not), Thompson (No, too low key), Zegler (Maybe actually, if the screener issue was holding back a groundswell)

Actor:

2. Dinklage for Bardem (Again DiCaprio should've gotten in with that ensemble nod. It's probably Dinklage or Bardem. I do though think Bardem probably benefited from Ricardos hitting streaming at just the right time, so I think that charge could fade enough for Dinklage's favor.)

Bafta: Ahmed (No), Akhtar (Definitely not), Ali (Globe possible BAFTA not a terrible get, but really don't think so), Craig (Definitely not), Driver for House (No, not without SAG), Graham (Definitely not), Hoffman (In a brighter world maybe, and not impossible, but no), Phoenix (Too low key without SAG, so no

Supporting Actor:

3. Hinds for Affleck (Affleck would have to be sole nominee so easy swap.)

Bafta: Alvarez (No just because the focus is on Faist), del Toro (No), Dornan (Still possible though the SAG miss was major), Faist (Again screener issue makes this a maybe and there is a vocal push for him), Garfield (No, lead actor is his game), Norman (No), Pacino (No Leto is now the "choice" from the film), Plemons (No, not sure how he made the longlist honestly), Rylance (*shivers*, only if the film reverses course but again SAG suggests otherwise), Simmons (No, not without SAG).

Supporting Actress:

Blanchett for Moreno (Again screener issue maybe, I could see the love for her come out as a way to recognize both films in a way. Though not to make Calvin nervous but Negga would be next on the chopping block if Blanchett hadn't missed on the BAFTA long list, although she did hit it for Don't Look Up, all BAFTA voters should be ashamed of themselves for that choice.)

Bafta: Buckley (Hmmm...maybe since Colman is in play, if Lost Daughter hits other precursors beyond Colman I could see it.), Armas (Definitely not, though cool nod), Dowd (No unfortunately, particularly since Mass somehow missed the original screenplay long-list even at BAFTA), Dench (No Balfe is rightfully the choice), Ellis (Should've had SAG really should've), Hunter (Probably not but that would be righteous), Robinson (Definitely not), Streep (Never count out Streep, but SAG helped to give us hope to), Taylor-Joy (No).

Calvin Law said...

No worries Louis, I’m by no means confident in Negga (she could still miss out as a sole nominee) but I’m just glad she’s in a somewhat comfortable position.

Also I do appreciate that they put McDormand in Lead to avoid conflicting with Hunter (and likewise for McDormand not campaigning), probably won’t pan out into a nom in the end but I do think this helped Hunter get in where she did end up getting in critics wise.

ruthiehenshallfan99 said...

Rest in peace Ronnie Spector.

8000S said...

Louis: So according to some source, from the TCM British Film Guide, Powell had Greta Garbo in mind for Sister Clodagh, and felt that Deborah Kerr was too young.

Thoughts?

ali said...

nice....greenhouse wind resistant