Wednesday, 1 January 2014

Fourth Anniversary of Best Actor and Another Official Line up

Well in my usual fashion on the anniversary I'll do my predictions for what the line up will be that returns me to the official Oscar nominees. 
This ought to be the lineup in lead if the Academy decides to be predictable, and this year predictability seems to be a good thing.
Of course Sag could line up, but hopefully it will not. Hopefully Whitaker will go the way of DiCaprio in J. Edgar.
Or if Wolf makes a major play.
Or if the Academy loves American Hustle as much as they did Silver Linings Playbook.

Obviously the Academy could always throw two of the seemingly secured for two others, although I would never bet on that. They could also take in someone like Oscar Isaac or Joaquin Phoenix, but I would not bet on that either.
Supporting seems like it could be two players for the last spot. If the Academy goes for American Hustle Cooper probably will be it.
Then again Gandolfini could carry his Sag nomination to a posthumous Oscar nomination.

Of course someone could always pull a Max von Sydow, perhaps Tom Hanks or Jonah Hill, and knock out both of the variations or someone else. That someone would probably be Bruhl or Abdi. Leto seems extremely secure and Fassbender has the necessary precursors and I would be very surprised if he missed out at BAFTA. Again I would not bet on Bruhl and Abdi missing as they are both doing very well for themselves.

19 comments:

Matt Mustin said...

How many of the performances have you seen Louis? I just saw American Hustle today and was very unimpressed. Bale and Adams were great though. I thought Cooper both under AND overacted, if that's possible.

dinasztie said...

It's interesting. I can totally see them going for American Hustle (just like SLP).

Happy New Year!

Anonymous said...

Happy New Year Everyone! Cant wait to see your reviews of this year's Oscar nominations when they happen.

RatedRStar said...

Whitaker better not get nominated that's all im saying ill go fucking mad =D Fassbender better be nominated 2 otherwise ill be very um deranged. I really hope Daniel Bruhl stays in, he was great.

Happy New Year.

Louis Morgan said...

Matt: For lead I still need to see Dern, Dicaprio and McConaughey. For supporting I only need to see Leto.

moviefilm said...

Happy New Year!
I still have many performances to see, but I have seen The Butler and I'm surprised you disliked him so much.
If he isn't nominated, will you include him on your alternates's list, so that we can enjoy your opinions not just briefly like in a comment?

Michael McCarthy said...

Matthew McConaughey
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Bruce Dern
Leonardo DiCaprio
Tom Hanks
Robert Redford
Joaquin Phoenix
Christian Bale
Oscar Isaac
Michael B. Jordan

Out of these ten, five will be nominated and the other five should get Louis Morgan reviews.

RatedRStar said...

Thankfully you didn't mention Whittaker =D looks like most people agree with me this time unlike last year with Phoenix lol =D.

koook160 (Robert MacFarlane) said...

I just got back from Inside Llewyn Davis. If there is any justice in the world, Oscar Isaac will be at the Kodak theater this year.

Psifonian said...

Here are my current actor/supporting actor lineups (not predictions). There are no performances left for me to see out of the big contenders.

BEST ACTOR:
1. Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
2. Joaquin Phoenix – Her
3. Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
4. Bruce Dern – Nebraska
5. Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
6. Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
8. Christian Bale – Out of the Furnace
9. Robert Redford – All Is Lost
10. Liev Schreiber – The Last Days on Mars

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1. Woody Harrelson – Out of the Furnace
2. Casey Affleck – Out of the Furnace
3. Sharlto Copley – Elysium
4. Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
5. Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
6. Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
7. James Gandolfini – Enough Said
8. Matthew McConaughey – The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
10. Vithaya Pansringarm – Only God Forgives

Michael McCarthy said...

Has anyone seen Mads Mikkelsen in The Hunt? I've heard really good things.

koook160 (Robert MacFarlane) said...

My current lineup is this:

Best Actor:

1. Oscar Isaac in Inside Llewyn Davis
2. Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street
3. Bradley Cooper in The Place Beyond the Pines
4. Chiwetel Ejiofor in 12 Years a Slave
5. Jake Gyllenhaal in Prisoners
6. Ethan Hawke in Before Midnight
7. Christian Bale in American Hustle
8. Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips
9. Will Forte in Nebraska
10. Bruce Dern in Nebraska

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Harrison Ford in 42
2. Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
3. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
4. Jonah Hill in The Wolf of Wall Street
5. Bobby Cannanvale in Blue Jasmine
6. Terrence Howard in Prisoners
7. Josh Gad in Frozen
8. David Oyewolo in The Butler
9. Rob Reiner in The Wolf of Wall Street
10. Russell Crowe in Man of Steel

If you couldn't tell, I had a hard time picking both. One because there was too many contenders, one because there aren't enough.

Michael Patison said...

I just saw Inside Llewyn Davis. Isaac was terrific and is probably my current winner, though I have pretty much every major film left to see. I was relatively underwhelmed by the film as a whole. Definitely not the Coen Bros best, or even their 2nd or 3rd best.

koook160 (Robert MacFarlane) said...

I really dug the film actually. It was a melancholy character study about a guy who's both a victim of society and his own self. Reminded me a lot of The Fabulous Baker Boys. It's my #4 at the moment behind Frozen, 12 Years a Slave, and Before Midnight. I also LOVED Carey Mulligan's small role. Easily her best since An Education.

Psifonian said...

Michael--

"The Hunt" is phenomenal. Mikkelsen is seismic in it. I have it as a 2012 release (where's he's my #3 to Phoenix and DDL). He'd be in my top three in 2013 if I had him here. I gave it a 10/10.

Michael McCarthy said...

Good to know! I didn't realize it had had any non film festival releases in 2012 but now that I'm looking into it I can see that it was released in several countries before 2013.

Mark said...

I just saw Wolf of Wall Street. I actually thought Dicaprio was great and deserves some award recogniton. Hill didn't impress me that much though.

Mark said...

Oh yeah, it's nice to see you back on this blog, dinasztie.

Matt Mustin said...

Mark: I didn't like Jonah Hill that much either.