Well in my usual fashion on the anniversary I'll do my predictions for what the line up will be that returns me to the official Oscar nominees.
Obviously the Academy could always throw two of the seemingly secured for two others, although I would never bet on that. They could also take in someone like Oscar Isaac or Joaquin Phoenix, but I would not bet on that either.
Of course someone could always pull a Max von Sydow, perhaps Tom Hanks or Jonah Hill, and knock out both of the variations or someone else. That someone would probably be Bruhl or Abdi. Leto seems extremely secure and Fassbender has the necessary precursors and I would be very surprised if he missed out at BAFTA. Again I would not bet on Bruhl and Abdi missing as they are both doing very well for themselves.