Sunday, 1 January 2017
Another Year And Another Official Lineup
Once again my annual predictions for Lead and Supporting Actor at the Oscars.
For supporting I cannot choose the SAG five, it just doesn't work that way. This is not 2014 in terms of the amount of supporting contenders, where everything seemed settled with a set five. I actually think this could get shaken up more than even my predictions given that last year seven of the SAG nominees did not carry over, though 2014 there were only three that did not carry over, but still there is likely to be some wiggle room. One of those misses can already be found in Best Actress, but how about the rest? There is no reason to doubt Bridges or Ali, so that leaves the rest. I talked myself into dropping Dev Patel, since I thought at first "hey if they love Lion they ought to include Patel", but there is no reason to assume that. The reason being Patel missed out for Slumdog Millionaire, the clear number one contender that year which Lion is not this year, despite the fact he received both a SAG and a BAFTA nomination. My replacement is early front runner Liam Neeson despite the odd anti-nomination propaganda which is strangely worded around his screentime, which he has more than enough as supporting actor nominees go, rather than the actual quality of his performance. As long as Silence makes its impact with the Academy, as Wolf of Wall Street did so late, I think Neeson could get in. After all Lucas Hedges isn't safe either though, since SAG will embrace younger actors often more frequently than Oscars. Grant also could fall to his film losing steam, but doesn't seem like it will be the case. There are problems though with the other actors hovering around the five. The Nocturnal Animals boys not only are fighting among themselves but their film isn't exactly Academy catnip. Issey Ogata and Ben Foster both have internal competition, though the lack of double nominees could be broken this year, it just is very hard to bet on.